WR · LA · #12
2024 stopped at 11 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
9,523
Range 8,601–9,663
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
267.7 pts
15.7 PPG · 15.5 games
112.4 rec · 1472.4 rec yds · 8.6 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Nacua caught 129 passes for 1,715 yards in 2025, finishing WR1. He scored 25% more than his touches said he should. The arc is recovery: WR4, then WR28, now WR1. Played a short 2024 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Puka Nacua.
Is Puka Nacua's Dynasty Value Priced for Another Injury?
Dynasty managers keep pricing Puka Nacua like 2024 is coming back. The model already checked — it isn’t.
Is Malik Nabers a Top-5 Dynasty WR Regardless of QB Play?
Malik Nabers tore his ACL in Week 4 and needed a second cleanup surgery in May. Here's an honest look at his recovery timeline and dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is JSN's Breakout Year Real or a Product of Volume?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the NFL in receiving yards, won a Super Bowl, and just signed a $168.6 million extension. Here's why his dynasty value isn't a volume mirage.
Is Amon-Ra St. Brown the Safest WR1 in Dynasty?
Amon-Ra St. Brown has finished WR3 in half-PPR in each of the last three seasons. Here's why he might be dynasty's safest asset at the position.
Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
Half-PPR points
310.5
PPG
19.4
Positional finish
WR1
Key stats
2025: 19.4 PPG actual vs 15.5 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 25%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR1 | 310.5 | 19.4 | 129 | 1715 | 10 | 105 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | WR28 | 167.1 | 15.2 | 79 | 990 | 3 | 46 | 1 | — | — |
| 2023 | WR4 | 246.0 | 14.5 | 105 | 1486 | 6 | 89 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 21.0 | ARI | 71 plays · 56% pass | 76 / 1 TD · 10 rec | 24 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 13.2 | ATL | 58 plays · 66% pass | 47 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 40.5 | SEA | 88 plays · 56% pass | 225 / 2 TD · 12 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 23.4 | DET | 67 plays · 57% pass | 181 · 9 rec | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 32.2 | ARI | 67 plays · 46% pass | 167 / 2 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 10.2 | CAR | 49 plays · 57% pass | 72 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 13.2 | TB | 54 plays · 65% pass | 97 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 10.8 | SEA | 50 plays · 56% pass | 75 · 7 rec | 18 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 14.9 | SF | 66 plays · 55% pass | 64 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 19.3 | NO | 75 plays · 43% pass | 95 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 68.3% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
80.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R5 (177 overall) WR · that slot hit at 9.1% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 21.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
36th of 85
52nd of 85
11th of 85
31st of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.