Nico Collins headshot

WR · HOU · #12

Nico Collins

Height
HT 6'4"
Weight
WT 222 lbs
Birth date
Mar 19, 1999 (age 27.5)
College
Michigan

Path runs WR9 → WR22 → WR9 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate.

Picked by the Texans in 2021 via a trade with the Panthers.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

7,249

Range 6,5467,860

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

244.1 pts

14.4 PPG · 15.5 games

93.5 rec · 1384.4 rec yds · 8.9 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy low

Collins caught 71 passes for 1,117 yards in 2025, finishing WR9. Path runs WR9 → WR22 → WR9 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Into 2026, the projection still expects starter production. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Nico Collins.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

190.7

PPG

12.7

Positional finish

WR9

Key stats

  • Rec: 71 (WR21)
  • Rec yds: 1117 (WR8)
  • Rec TD: 6 (WR18)

2025: 12.7 PPG actual vs 12.4 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR9190.712.77111176151
2024WR22176.614.76810067
2023WR9220.414.780129787
2022WR7878.67.9374812
2021WR8767.14.8334461

Career arc

01002003002021: 67.1 Half-PPR6720212022: 78.6 Half-PPR7920222023: 220.4 Half-PPR22020232024: 176.6 Half-PPR17720242025: 190.7 Half-PPR19120252026 projection: 244.1 Half-PPR2442026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W177.2LAC62 plays · 45% pass57 · 3 rec00
2025 W167.9LV61 plays · 57% pass59 · 4 rec00
2025 W1522.0ARI62 plays · 47% pass85 / 2 TD · 3 rec00
2025 W1414.1KC62 plays · 50% pass121 · 4 rec00
2025 W1319.0IND69 plays · 51% pass98 · 5 rec7 / 1 TD0
2025 W127.0BUF56 plays · 54% pass55 · 3 rec00
2025 W1119.7TEN64 plays · 64% pass92 / 1 TD · 9 rec00
2025 W1019.1JAX67 plays · 67% pass136 · 7 rec00
2025 W911.0DEN68 plays · 59% pass75 · 7 rec00
2025 W74.7SEA66 plays · 74% pass27 · 4 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152025307891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards
  • ARI
    +8% · 243 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 77.2% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751007891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

83.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
4
Avg depth of target
12.7
Drop %
0.8%

Durability

  • 2023
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2024
    12 G
  • 2025
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R3 (89 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.31yd

74th of 85

Cushion
4.87yd

84th of 85

YAC above expected
1.69yd

8th of 85

Air yards share
34.1%

13th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Nico Collins's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Collins scores 7,249 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Nico Collins's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 14.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Nico Collins in dynasty right now?
That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.