WR · DEN · #17
The arc is recovery: WR34, then WR46, now WR23.
Traded from MIA to DEN (Mar 17, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,132
Range 3,696–4,362
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
150.6 pts
8.9 PPG · 15.5 games
62 rec · 833.3 rec yds · 5.4 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Waddle caught 64 passes for 910 yards in 2025, finishing WR23. He scored 9% more than his touches said he should. Path runs WR34 → WR46 → WR23 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jaylen Waddle.
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Half-PPR points
162.1
PPG
10.1
Positional finish
WR23
Key stats
2025: 10.1 PPG actual vs 9.3 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 9%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR23 | 162.1 | 10.1 | 64 | 910 | 6 | 28 | — | 8 | — |
| 2024 | WR46 | 120.6 | 8.0 | 58 | 744 | 2 | 12 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR34 | 162.6 | 11.6 | 72 | 1014 | 4 | 12 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR7 | 221.7 | 13.0 | 75 | 1356 | 8 | 26 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR16 | 193.8 | 12.1 | 104 | 1015 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 0.7 | TB | 52 plays · 42% pass | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 9.7 | CIN | 58 plays · 52% pass | 72 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 3.6 | PIT | 44 plays · 64% pass | 26 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 15.6 | NYJ | 62 plays · 34% pass | 50 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 5.5 | NO | 55 plays · 42% pass | 40 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 6.7 | WAS | 51 plays · 39% pass | 52 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 16.9 | BUF | 53 plays · 40% pass | 84 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 11.2 | BAL | 60 plays · 67% pass | 82 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 18.4 | ATL | 64 plays · 42% pass | 99 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 2.0 | CLE | 53 plays · 59% pass | 15 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 77.6% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
80.6%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (6 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
47th of 85
43rd of 85
57th of 85
4th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.