QB · MIN · #1
Kyler Murray
- Height
- HT 5'10"
- Weight
- WT 207 lbs
- Birth date
- Aug 7, 1997 (age 29.1)
- College
- Oklahoma; Texas A&M
2025 stopped at 5 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,285
Range 2,129–2,439
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
318.0 pts
18.7 PPG · 16.5 games
4039.1 pass yds · 24.1 pass TD · 562.4 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchMurray threw for 962 yards and 6 TDs in 2025, finishing QB38. He scored about 19% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: QB10 → QB38 over the last two seasons. Played a short 2025 (5 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Kyler Murray.
- StrategyNextDyne
Dynasty Mailbag: Real Reader Trade Questions
Real dynasty trade and roster questions from readers, answered straight with NextDyne's live Dynasty Value Scores.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Marvin Harrison Jr. Still a Dynasty Buy, or Is the Bust Talk Real?
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s sophomore season was rougher than his rookie year, with real drop issues and a crowded target hierarchy. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
- NewsNextDyne
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
- StrategyNextDyne
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
- StrategyNextDyne
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
77.8
PPG
15.6
Positional finish
QB38
Key stats
- Pass yds: 962 (QB39)
- Pass TD: 6 (QB39)
2025: 15.6 PPG actual vs 19.3 expected from usage (5 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 19%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB38 | 77.8 | 15.6 | 962 | 6 | 173 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB10 | 297.2 | 17.5 | 3851 | 21 | 572 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB26 | 146.4 | 18.3 | 1799 | 10 | 244 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB18 | 200.5 | 18.2 | 2368 | 14 | 418 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB10 | 300.5 | 21.5 | 3787 | 24 | 423 | 5 | — | 7 | — |
| 2020 | QB3 | 378.7 | 23.7 | 3971 | 26 | 819 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB8 | 285.3 | 17.8 | 3722 | 20 | 544 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W5 | 15.3 | TEN | 61 plays · 53% pass | 220 | 25 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 16.1 | SEA | 58 plays · 71% pass | 200 / 2 TD | 41 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 14.1 | SF | 63 plays · 56% pass | 159 / 1 TD | 37 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 14.0 | CAR | 47 plays · 53% pass | 220 / 1 TD | 32 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 18.3 | NO | 56 plays · 52% pass | 163 / 2 TD | 38 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- SEA-5% · 213 pass yards
- SF+7% · 242 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
- NO-13% · 196 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 98.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 16.5%
- On-target throw %
- 75.2%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 20238 G · 1 Out
- 202417 G
- 20255 G
- 16.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.68s
- Aggressiveness
- 13.7%
- CPOE
- -1.0pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.9yd
7th of 42
29th of 42
24th of 42
39th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Kyler Murray's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Murray scores 2,285 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Kyler Murray's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 18.7 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Kyler Murray in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.