QB · IND · #17
Only 10 games in 2024 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,674
Range 4,272–5,069
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
248.5 pts
14.6 PPG · 15.0 games
3500.8 pass yds · 20 pass TD · 330.8 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Jones threw for 3,101 yards and 19 TDs in 2025, finishing QB18. Finish path matters here: QB28 → QB18 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Only 10 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Daniel Jones.
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
Is Tyler Warren the Rookie TE Breakout Everyone's Missing?
Warren finished TE5 as a rookie on pure receiving efficiency, then Indy handed him every target Michael Pittman left behind. Here's the buy case.
Half-PPR points
226.4
PPG
17.4
Positional finish
QB18
Key stats
2025: 17.4 PPG actual vs 18.3 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 5%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB18 | 226.4 | 17.4 | 3101 | 19 | 164 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB28 | 135.3 | 13.5 | 2070 | 8 | 265 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB44 | 57.0 | 9.5 | 909 | 2 | 206 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB9 | 289.0 | 18.1 | 3205 | 15 | 708 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB27 | 167.0 | 15.2 | 2428 | 10 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 16 | — |
| 2020 | QB24 | 180.0 | 12.9 | 2943 | 11 | 423 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB24 | 215.0 | 16.5 | 3027 | 24 | 279 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W14 | 0.8 | JAX | 62 plays · 58% pass | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 16.1 | HOU | 50 plays · 54% pass | 201 / 2 TD | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 16.8 | KC | 50 plays · 62% pass | 181 / 2 TD | 16 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 15.5 | ATL | 67 plays · 39% pass | 255 / 1 TD | 53 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 14.1 | PIT | 69 plays · 73% pass | 342 / 1 TD | 4 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 23.2 | TEN | 49 plays · 63% pass | 272 / 3 TD | 3 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 22.2 | LAC | 57 plays · 60% pass | 288 / 2 TD | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 22.5 | ARI | 57 plays · 53% pass | 212 / 2 TD | 20 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 16.7 | LV | 57 plays · 56% pass | 212 / 2 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 10.4 | LA | 54 plays · 61% pass | 262 / 1 TD | -1 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
91.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
9th of 42
7th of 42
6th of 42
14th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.