QB · IND · #17
From QB18 to QB27 through 6 games is a dip in pace, not a locked finish.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,710
Range 4,297–5,100
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
61.1 pts
10.2 PPG
1290 pass yds · 4 pass TD · 55 rush yds
Week 7 projection
13.4 pts
@ MIN · floor–ceiling 6.4–20.1
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Jones threw for 1,290 yards and 4 TDs in 2026, ranking QB27 through 6 games. He ranks QB27 through 6 games, down from QB18. Early, not a finished step down. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Daniel Jones.
Buy-Low, Sell-High: After Week 5
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Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
Is Tyler Warren the Rookie TE Breakout Everyone's Missing?
Warren finished TE5 as a rookie on pure receiving efficiency, then Indy handed him every target Michael Pittman left behind. Here's the buy case.
Half-PPR points
61.1
PPG
10.2
Rank so far
QB27
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/6 Boom 0%
0/6 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB27so far | 61.1 | 10.2 | 1290 | 4 | 55 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB18 | 226.4 | 17.4 | 3101 | 19 | 164 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB28 | 135.3 | 13.5 | 2070 | 8 | 265 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB44 | 57.0 | 9.5 | 909 | 2 | 206 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB9 | 289.0 | 18.1 | 3205 | 15 | 708 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB27 | 167.0 | 15.2 | 2428 | 10 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 16 | — |
| 2020 | QB24 | 180.0 | 12.9 | 2943 | 11 | 423 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB24 | 215.0 | 16.5 | 3027 | 24 | 279 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W6 | 13.8 | TEN | 72 plays · 58% pass | 269 / 1 TD | 30 | 0 |
| 2026 W5 | 11.1 | PIT | 68 plays · 65% pass | 267 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 7.9 | WAS | 64 plays · 53% pass | 143 | 2 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 7.9 | HOU | 67 plays · 54% pass | 235 / 1 TD | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 11.4 | KC | 63 plays · 49% pass | 210 / 1 TD | 10 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 9.0 | BAL | 51 plays · 61% pass | 166 / 1 TD | 4 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 6 Engine grade
Projected 13.9 · scored 13.8 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +0.1.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
91.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
9th of 38
21st of 38
25th of 38
31st of 38
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.