Daniel Jones headshot

QB · IND · #17

Daniel Jones

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 220 lbs
Birth date
May 27, 1997 (age 29.3)
College
Duke

Only 10 games in 2024 — availability is the headline.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

4,674

Range 4,2725,069

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

248.5 pts

14.6 PPG · 15.0 games

3500.8 pass yds · 20 pass TD · 330.8 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.98

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Buy

Jones threw for 3,101 yards and 19 TDs in 2025, finishing QB18. Finish path matters here: QB28 → QB18 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Only 10 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Daniel Jones.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

226.4

PPG

17.4

Positional finish

QB18

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 3101 (QB18)
  • Pass TD: 19 (QB21)

2025: 17.4 PPG actual vs 18.3 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 5%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2025QB18226.417.43101191645
2024QB28135.313.5207082652
2023QB4457.09.590922061
2022QB9289.018.13205157087
2021QB27167.015.22428102982116
2020QB24180.012.92943114231
2019QB24215.016.53027242792

Career arc

01002003004002019: 215.0 Half-PPR21520192020: 180.0 Half-PPR18020202021: 167.0 Half-PPR16720212022: 289.0 Half-PPR28920222023: 57.0 Half-PPR5720232024: 135.3 Half-PPR13520242025: 226.4 Half-PPR22620252026 projection: 248.5 Half-PPR2492026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2025 W140.8JAX62 plays · 58% pass6040
2025 W1316.1HOU50 plays · 54% pass201 / 2 TD10
2025 W1216.8KC50 plays · 62% pass181 / 2 TD160
2025 W1015.5ATL67 plays · 39% pass255 / 1 TD530
2025 W914.1PIT69 plays · 73% pass342 / 1 TD4 / 1 TD0
2025 W823.2TEN49 plays · 63% pass272 / 3 TD30
2025 W722.2LAC57 plays · 60% pass288 / 2 TD70
2025 W622.5ARI57 plays · 53% pass212 / 2 TD20 / 1 TD0
2025 W516.7LV57 plays · 56% pass212 / 2 TD20
2025 W410.4LA54 plays · 61% pass262 / 1 TD-10

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015202530354567891011121314Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • ARI
    +8% · 243 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards
  • LA
    +4% · 235 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 91.5% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

2550751004567891011121314Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

91.3%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressure rate
20.3%
On-target throw %
78.0%
Avg time in pocket
2.3s

Durability

  • 2023
    6 G · 2 Out
  • 2024
    10 G
  • 2025
    13 G
  • 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Time to throw
2.70s

9th of 42

Aggressiveness
17.2%

7th of 42

CPOE
3.4pp

6th of 42

Air yds to sticks
-0.6yd

14th of 42

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Daniel Jones's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Jones scores 4,674 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Daniel Jones's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 14.6 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Daniel Jones in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.