QB · LAC · #10
Justin Herbert
- Height
- HT 6'6"
- Weight
- WT 237 lbs
- Birth date
- Mar 10, 1998 (age 28.5)
- College
- Oregon
No drama in the trend: a reliable top-tier QB of late.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,915
Range 6,282–7,536
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
311.3 pts
18.3 PPG · 15.5 games
4119.5 pass yds · 26.4 pass TD · 423.6 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
HoldHerbert threw for 3,727 yards and 26 TDs in 2025, finishing QB10. He's 29 — that's peak QB age, not a wait-and-see profile. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Justin Herbert.
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
286.9
PPG
17.9
Positional finish
QB10
Key stats
- Pass yds: 3727 (QB9)
- Pass TD: 26 (QB7)
2025: 17.9 PPG actual vs 18.7 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 4%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB10 | 286.9 | 17.9 | 3727 | 26 | 498 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB11 | 285.4 | 16.8 | 3870 | 23 | 306 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB17 | 233.7 | 18.0 | 3134 | 20 | 228 | 3 | 1 | 10 | — |
| 2022 | QB11 | 280.3 | 16.5 | 4739 | 25 | 147 | — | 2 | -10 | — |
| 2021 | QB2 | 380.8 | 22.4 | 5014 | 38 | 302 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB9 | 332.8 | 22.2 | 4336 | 31 | 234 | 5 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 15.1 | HOU | 54 plays · 59% pass | 236 / 1 TD | 37 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 30.2 | DAL | 62 plays · 47% pass | 300 / 2 TD | 42 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 10.4 | KC | 58 plays · 50% pass | 210 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 12.2 | PHI | 64 plays · 41% pass | 139 / 1 TD | 66 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 12.8 | LV | 64 plays · 33% pass | 151 / 2 TD | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 3.3 | JAX | 42 plays · 62% pass | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 14.7 | PIT | 64 plays · 52% pass | 220 / 1 TD | 19 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 27.7 | TEN | 59 plays · 49% pass | 250 / 2 TD | 57 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 25.3 | MIN | 68 plays · 37% pass | 227 / 3 TD | 62 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 27.9 | IND | 71 plays · 78% pass | 420 / 3 TD | 31 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- HOU-9% · 205 pass yards
- DAL+18% · 266 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
- PHI-9% · 205 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- JAX+3% · 231 pass yards
- PIT+16% · 261 pass yards
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- MIN-21% · 178 pass yards
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
97.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 29.8%
- On-target throw %
- 76.4%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202313 G
- 202417 G
- 202516 G
- 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.90s
- Aggressiveness
- 15.6%
- CPOE
- 3.3pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.9yd
32nd of 42
20th of 42
8th of 42
19th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Justin Herbert's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Herbert scores 6,915 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Justin Herbert's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 18.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Justin Herbert in dynasty right now?
- This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.