QB · ATL · #1
Tua Tagovailoa
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 218 lbs
- Birth date
- Mar 2, 1998 (age 28.5)
- College
- Alabama
Played a short 2024 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,083
Range 3,743–4,419
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
238.1 pts
14.0 PPG · 15.0 games
3796.8 pass yds · 25 pass TD · 110.2 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Quick answer
HoldTagovailoa threw for 2,660 yards and 20 TDs in 2025, finishing QB25. He scored about 5% less than his touches said he should. Played a short 2024 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. The 2026 projection still has him in every-week starter range. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Tua Tagovailoa.
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
160.7
PPG
11.5
Positional finish
QB25
Key stats
- Pass yds: 2660 (QB22)
- Pass TD: 20 (QB19)
2025: 11.5 PPG actual vs 12.1 expected from usage (14 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 5%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB25 | 160.7 | 11.5 | 2660 | 20 | 43 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB21 | 181.6 | 16.5 | 2867 | 19 | 49 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB11 | 270.4 | 15.9 | 4624 | 29 | 74 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB15 | 230.9 | 17.8 | 3548 | 25 | 70 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB25 | 180.9 | 13.9 | 2653 | 16 | 128 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB30 | 135.5 | 13.6 | 1814 | 11 | 109 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W15 | 16.2 | PIT | 44 plays · 64% pass | 253 / 2 TD | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 9.1 | NYJ | 62 plays · 34% pass | 127 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.7 | NO | 55 plays · 42% pass | 157 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 6.8 | WAS | 51 plays · 39% pass | 171 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 10.8 | BUF | 53 plays · 40% pass | 173 / 2 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 8.5 | BAL | 60 plays · 67% pass | 261 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 24.2 | ATL | 64 plays · 42% pass | 205 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | -1.4 | CLE | 53 plays · 59% pass | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 6.6 | LAC | 54 plays · 61% pass | 205 / 1 TD | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 22.7 | CAR | 50 plays · 72% pass | 256 / 3 TD | 5 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- PIT+16% · 261 pass yards
- NYJ+1% · 226 pass yards
- NO-13% · 196 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
- ATL-1% · 222 pass yards
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 95.4% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
95.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.9%
- On-target throw %
- 77.0%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 202317 G
- 202411 G
- 202514 G
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (5 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.65s
- Aggressiveness
- 13.5%
- CPOE
- -0.3pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.1yd
4th of 42
31st of 42
23rd of 42
35th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Tua Tagovailoa's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Tagovailoa scores 4,083 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Tua Tagovailoa's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 14.0 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Tua Tagovailoa in dynasty right now?
- This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.