QB · PHI · #1
Finishes have held in starter territory without a wild swing.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,596
Range 6,893–8,286
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
308.5 pts
18.1 PPG · 15.7 games
3554.9 pass yds · 23.4 pass TD · 527.2 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Hurts threw for 3,224 yards and 25 TDs in 2025, finishing QB8. He's 28 — that's peak QB age, not a wait-and-see profile. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jalen Hurts.
Justin Herbert Keeps Getting Overlooked — What's the Market Missing?
Justin Herbert played through a broken hand in 2025 and still finished QB10. Here's why the market keeps underrating one of dynasty's steadiest quarterbacks.
Is Josh Allen Still Dynasty's Top QB at 30?
Josh Allen turns 30 this year, and he's still dynasty's clear No. 1 QB, well clear of Jalen Hurts and the rest of the field. Here's why.
Does the Move to New England Help or Hurt A.J. Brown's Value?
A.J. Brown left a strained situation in Philadelphia to reunite with his first NFL head coach in New England. Here's what the move means for his dynasty value.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Is Saquon Barkley's Dynasty Value About to Fall Off a Cliff?
Saquon Barkley went from a 2,283-yard season to RB14 in one year. Here's an honest look at whether it's workload regression, a banged-up line, or real decline.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Half-PPR points
301.1
PPG
18.8
Positional finish
QB8
Key stats
2025: 18.8 PPG actual vs 18.4 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB8 | 301.1 | 18.8 | 3224 | 25 | 421 | 8 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB8 | 315.1 | 21.0 | 2903 | 18 | 630 | 14 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB2 | 356.8 | 21.0 | 3858 | 23 | 605 | 15 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB3 | 378.0 | 25.2 | 3701 | 22 | 760 | 13 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB9 | 312.2 | 20.8 | 3144 | 16 | 784 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB34 | 108.6 | 7.8 | 1061 | 6 | 354 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 8.9 | BUF | 53 plays · 51% pass | 110 / 1 TD | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 19.4 | WAS | 64 plays · 47% pass | 185 / 2 TD | 40 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 22.9 | LV | 65 plays · 28% pass | 175 / 3 TD | 39 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 2.4 | LAC | 65 plays · 62% pass | 240 | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 16.3 | CHI | 51 plays · 67% pass | 230 / 2 TD | 31 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 30.9 | DAL | 57 plays · 68% pass | 289 / 1 TD | 33 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 14.5 | DET | 68 plays · 41% pass | 135 | 31 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 12.0 | GB | 60 plays · 43% pass | 183 / 1 TD | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 25.4 | NYG | 53 plays · 38% pass | 179 / 4 TD | 22 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 24.0 | MIN | 46 plays · 50% pass | 326 / 3 TD | -10 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.6% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (53 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
36th of 42
8th of 42
10th of 42
5th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.