QB · CLE · #4
Played a short 2024 (7 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from HOU to CLE (Mar 18, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
218.1 pts
12.8 PPG · 15.0 games
2967 pass yds · 17.1 pass TD · 357.8 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Availability ×0.88
Availability / legal history (analyst flag).
Watson threw for 1,148 yards and 5 TDs in 2024, finishing QB40. He scored about 22% less than his touches said he should. Played a short 2024 (7 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. 2026 still looks like a starter, not a stash. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Deshaun Watson.
Half-PPR points
76.7
PPG
11.0
Positional finish
QB40
Key stats
2024: 11.0 PPG actual vs 14.1 expected from usage (7 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 22%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | QB40 | 76.7 | 11.0 | 1148 | 5 | 148 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB36 | 86.8 | 14.5 | 1115 | 7 | 142 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB36 | 85.6 | 14.3 | 1102 | 7 | 175 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB5 | 369.3 | 23.1 | 4823 | 33 | 444 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB4 | 320.5 | 21.4 | 3852 | 26 | 413 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 2018 | QB4 | 331.7 | 20.7 | 4165 | 26 | 551 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | QB26 | 168.9 | 24.1 | 1699 | 19 | 269 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W7 | 5.1 | CIN | 73 plays · 71% pass | 128 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W6 | 8.4 | PHI | 48 plays · 48% pass | 168 | 17 | 0 |
| 2024 W5 | 8.4 | WAS | 52 plays · 56% pass | 125 / 1 TD | 14 | 0 |
| 2024 W4 | 12.2 | LV | 54 plays · 59% pass | 176 / 1 TD | 32 | 0 |
| 2024 W3 | 16.4 | NYG | 55 plays · 67% pass | 196 / 2 TD | 26 | 0 |
| 2024 W2 | 15.4 | JAX | 63 plays · 54% pass | 186 | 20 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2024 W1 | 10.7 | DAL | 64 plays · 70% pass | 169 / 1 TD | 39 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2024, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2024 offense · 88.9% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
85.4%
2024· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2024)
Durability
R1 (12 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
37th of 43
15th of 43
37th of 43
42nd of 43
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.