Josh Allen headshot

QB · BUF · #17

Josh Allen

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 237 lbs
Birth date
May 21, 1996 (age 30.3)
College
Wyoming; Reedley

No drama in the trend: a reliable top-tier QB of late.

Picked by the Bills in 2018 via a trade with the Buccaneers.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

9,633

Range 9,0419,701

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

359.7 pts

21.2 PPG · 15.9 games

4087.8 pass yds · 27 pass TD · 558.8 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.98

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Versatility ×1.02

    Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Hold

Allen threw for 3,668 yards and 25 TDs in 2025, finishing QB1. He scored 15% more than his touches said he should. At 30, he's in the typical QB peak window. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Allen.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

364.6

PPG

22.8

Positional finish

QB1

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 3668 (QB11)
  • Pass TD: 25 (QB9)

2025: 22.8 PPG actual vs 19.9 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 15%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2025QB1364.622.836682557914
2024QB2379.023.73731285311271
2023QB1392.623.143062952415
2022QB2395.524.74283357627
2021QB1402.623.74407367636
2020QB1395.624.745443742181121
2019QB6288.618.03089205109
2018QB21206.917.22044106318

Career arc

01002003004005002018: 206.9 Half-PPR20720182019: 288.6 Half-PPR28920192020: 395.6 Half-PPR39620202021: 402.6 Half-PPR40320212022: 395.5 Half-PPR39620222023: 392.6 Half-PPR39320232024: 379.0 Half-PPR37920242025: 364.6 Half-PPR36520252026 projection: 359.7 Half-PPR3602026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2025 W1723.2PHI68 plays · 52% pass26227 / 2 TD0
2025 W166.9CLE48 plays · 40% pass130170
2025 W1524.5NE65 plays · 43% pass193 / 3 TD480
2025 W1437.8CIN57 plays · 49% pass251 / 3 TD78 / 1 TD0
2025 W1316.7PIT74 plays · 31% pass123 / 1 TD38 / 1 TD0
2025 W128.1HOU58 plays · 59% pass253200
2025 W1142.7TB53 plays · 57% pass317 / 3 TD40 / 3 TD0
2025 W1019.3MIA62 plays · 65% pass306 / 2 TD310
2025 W928.8KC61 plays · 43% pass273 / 1 TD19 / 2 TD0
2025 W823.2CAR58 plays · 40% pass163 / 1 TD7 / 2 TD0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
5101520253035404550891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • CIN
    +9% · 246 pass yards
  • PIT
    +16% · 261 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • CAR
    -4% · 215 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 92.2% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

255075100891011121314151617Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

93.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressure rate
18.0%
On-target throw %
79.9%
Avg time in pocket
2.5s

Durability

  • 2023
    17 G
  • 2024
    16 G
  • 2025
    16 G
  • 15.9 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R1 (7 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Time to throw
2.89s

31st of 42

Aggressiveness
11.5%

40th of 42

CPOE
1.5pp

15th of 42

Air yds to sticks
-1.1yd

24th of 42

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Josh Allen's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Allen scores 9,633 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Josh Allen's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 21.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Josh Allen in dynasty right now?
This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.