QB · BUF · #17
No drama in the trend: a reliable top-tier QB of late.
Picked by the Bills in 2018 via a trade with the Buccaneers.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
9,633
Range 9,041–9,701
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
359.7 pts
21.2 PPG · 15.9 games
4087.8 pass yds · 27 pass TD · 558.8 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Allen threw for 3,668 yards and 25 TDs in 2025, finishing QB1. He scored 15% more than his touches said he should. At 30, he's in the typical QB peak window. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Josh Allen.
AFC East Dynasty Fantasy Outlook 2026
A team-by-team dynasty breakdown of the AFC East for 2026 — Josh Allen, De'Von Achane, Drake Maye, and a Miami passing game that changed completely.
Starting QB Stats Look Down From 2015. The Box Score Is Lying to You.
Starting QB passing yards and TDs are down from the 2015-2020 peak. The data says it's fewer attempts, not worse quarterbacks — here's what that means for dynasty value.
Is Josh Allen Still Dynasty's Top QB at 30?
Josh Allen turns 30 this year, and he's still dynasty's clear No. 1 QB, well clear of Jalen Hurts and the rest of the field. Here's why.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Bills Extend O'Cyrus Torrence — How It Helps Josh Allen
Buffalo locked right guard O'Cyrus Torrence on a four-year, $78.4 million deal with $46 million guaranteed. Here's why that matters for Josh Allen in dynasty.
Bills S C.J. Gardner-Johnson Calf Strain — Secondary Depth Watch
Bills S C.J. Gardner-Johnson left camp with a lower calf strain. What the early-camp injury means for Buffalo secondary depth and dynasty/IDP monitoring.
Half-PPR points
364.6
PPG
22.8
Positional finish
QB1
Key stats
2025: 22.8 PPG actual vs 19.9 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 15%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB1 | 364.6 | 22.8 | 3668 | 25 | 579 | 14 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB2 | 379.0 | 23.7 | 3731 | 28 | 531 | 12 | — | 7 | 1 |
| 2023 | QB1 | 392.6 | 23.1 | 4306 | 29 | 524 | 15 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB2 | 395.5 | 24.7 | 4283 | 35 | 762 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB1 | 402.6 | 23.7 | 4407 | 36 | 763 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB1 | 395.6 | 24.7 | 4544 | 37 | 421 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| 2019 | QB6 | 288.6 | 18.0 | 3089 | 20 | 510 | 9 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB21 | 206.9 | 17.2 | 2044 | 10 | 631 | 8 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 23.2 | PHI | 68 plays · 52% pass | 262 | 27 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 6.9 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 130 | 17 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 24.5 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 193 / 3 TD | 48 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 37.8 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 251 / 3 TD | 78 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 16.7 | PIT | 74 plays · 31% pass | 123 / 1 TD | 38 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 8.1 | HOU | 58 plays · 59% pass | 253 | 20 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 42.7 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | 317 / 3 TD | 40 / 3 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 19.3 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | 306 / 2 TD | 31 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 28.8 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 273 / 1 TD | 19 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 23.2 | CAR | 58 plays · 40% pass | 163 / 1 TD | 7 / 2 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 92.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
93.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (7 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
31st of 42
40th of 42
15th of 42
24th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.