Rankings

Top 20 Quarterbacks: 2026 Season Projections

Beyond the top 10, this board is really two stories: proven passers settling into new tiers, and a handful of names whose 2026 outlook depends on a job that isn't fully settled yet.

By Kenny Flermoen · July 31, 2026

This expands our Top 10 QB projections out to 20. The same rules apply: this ranks who scores the most points in 2026, not who's worth the most in a trade. Check the Dynasty Trade Calculator for that.

Top 20 QB — 2026 Projected Half-PPR Points

Top 20 quarterback projections for 2026
RankPlayerTeamHalf-PPR FPPPG
1Josh AllenBUF378.223.8
2Matthew StaffordLA361.223.5
3Caleb WilliamsCHI349.921.2
4Jayden DanielsWAS347.723.2
5Bo NixDEN345.220.9
6Drake MayeNE338.522.0
7Lamar JacksonBAL336.122.4
8Jalen HurtsPHI328.120.9
9Baker MayfieldTB326.919.8
10Patrick MahomesKC323.521.6
11Justin HerbertLAC318.620.6
12Jaxson DartNYG318.021.2
13Jared GoffDET312.318.9
14Brock PurdySF310.620.7
15Kyler MurrayMIN307.220.5
16Cam WardTEN306.018.5
17Dak PrescottDAL301.920.1
18Joe BurrowCIN295.719.7
19Jordan LoveGB295.219.3
20Trevor LawrenceJAX292.719.5

Ranked by projected half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. This is a scoring projection, not a trade value ranking.

The top 10

We covered this tier in detail in the flagship rankings post Josh Allen's rushing floor, the four second- and third-year quarterbacks (Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Bo Nix, Drake Maye) crowding the top six, and Matthew Stafford's pure-passer case.

11–15: proven arms, a breakout, and a real QB battle

Justin Herbert at 11 is the steadiest name in this tier — no rushing floor to lean on, but he's a top-15 lock most years on accuracy and volume alone.

Jaxson Dart at 12 is the real story here. He's entering Year 2 — the Giants took him 25th overall in 2025, and he took over as the starter in Week 4 after Russell Wilson struggled. He finished as one of the better rushing quarterbacks in football, with nine rushing touchdowns in 12 starts, and this projection assumes real growth as a passer on top of that floor.

Jared Goff and Brock Purdy round out the tier as reliable, lower-ceiling passers — both are the kind of quarterback a good offense elevates rather than the other way around.

Kyler Murray at 15 comes with a real caveat. He signed with Minnesota as a free agent after Arizona released him this spring, landing in a quarterback room with J.J. McCarthy. It's an open competition as of now, with Murray holding the edge on our latest depth chart — but that's not a settled outcome, and it can still shift through camp and preseason. This projection assumes he wins the job and stays healthy. If either breaks the other way, this ranking doesn't hold.

16–20: name value versus 2026 reality

Cam Ward at 16 was the No. 1 overall pick in 2025, and his rookie season was rough — a losing record and modest efficiency numbers behind a Titans offense that fired its head coach at midseason. This ranking is a bet that a full offseason as the starter closes some of that gap, not a sign his rookie tape was strong.

Dak Prescott, Joe Burrow, Jordan Love, and Trevor Lawrence close out the top 20. Burrow at 18 is the name that jumps out — a QB1 in most dynasty conversations, landing here because this projection assumes a limited game count, not because of any doubt about his ceiling. He missed nine games last season to a Grade 3 turf toe injury that required surgery, and durability has been a recurring issue across his career. When he's on the field, he's been a top-four fantasy scorer in every full season he's played.

Model any of these players against your own roster on the Dynasty Trade Calculator — toggle Superflex and TE Premium settings to match your league. Then compare this board to the Top 20 QB Dynasty Value Score rankings.

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FAQ

How are these quarterback rankings calculated?
They're ranked by projected half-PPR fantasy points from the NextDyne Engine Projections 2026 baseline, built on depth-chart role, target-share trends, and offensive scheme fit. This is a points projection, not a dynasty value score.
Why is a second-year quarterback like Jaxson Dart ranked ahead of proven starters?
His rookie year wasn't a small sample. He started 12 games for the Giants and produced nine rushing touchdowns, a floor most passers his age don't have. This projection bets that a full offseason as the starter adds passing growth on top of it.
Does Kyler Murray have the Vikings' starting job locked up?
No — it's an open competition with J.J. McCarthy, with Murray holding the edge on our latest depth chart. That can still shift through camp and preseason. This projection assumes he wins the job and stays healthy.

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