QB · NYG · #18
Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from MIN to NYG (Sep 28, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
382
Range 347–437
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection In-season usage moved the score inside this range.
Young QB with proof and a long runway.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
16.5 pts
8.3 PPG
243 pass yds · 1 pass TD · 28 rush yds
Week 7 projection
15.0 pts
@ HOU · floor–ceiling 7.8–21.9
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.00
Athletic composite 7.0/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
McCarthy threw for 243 yards and 1 TD in 2026, ranking QB40 through 2 games. He ranks QB40 through 2 games, down from QB32. Early, not a finished step down. Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention J.J. McCarthy.
Dynasty Daily: Thursday Roster News, October 22
Dynasty roster news for Thursday, Oct. 22: Lamar Jackson, Saquon Barkley and Zach Charbonnet return, McCarthy starts, plus Love, Hall and Rice updates.
J.J. McCarthy Is the Giants' QB1. Is He a Dynasty Add?
Dynasty managers: J.J. McCarthy will start for the Giants in Week 7 after one big quarter. Who to add, who to hold and what it means for Jaxson Dart.
Dynasty Buy Low and Sell High, Week 7
Dynasty buy-low and sell-high calls for Week 7: Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams are discounts, Tre Tucker and Isaiah Likely are sells. Marcus Reyes.
Giants Trade for J.J. McCarthy. Here's What It Means for Dynasty.
The Giants traded a 2027 fifth-round pick for J.J. McCarthy. Here's his dynasty value, Jameis Winston's role, and what it means for Jaxson Dart.
Is Kyler Murray Still Startable After His Concussion?
Kyler Murray's Vikings debut lasted 18 pass yards before a concussion ended his day. He missed Week 2, started Week 3, and the dynasty case still sits on health.
Is T.J. Hockenson Still a Top-5 Dynasty TE?
Kyler Murray just won the Vikings' starting job over J.J. McCarthy. Here's what it means for T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value after two down years.
Kyler Murray Is Officially Minnesota's Starting QB — What That Means for His Dynasty Value
Kyler Murray's dynasty value after he took over as Minnesota's QB1 — the depth chart, the weapons, and what changes for J.J. McCarthy owners.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
16.5
PPG
8.3
Rank so far
QB40
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/2 Boom 0%
1/2 Bust 50%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB40so far | 16.5 | 8.3 | 243 | 1 | 28 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB32 | 125.4 | 12.5 | 1632 | 11 | 181 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W6 | 16.3 | NO | 67 plays · 70% pass | 243 / 1 TD | 26 | 0 |
| 2026 W5 | 0.2Bust | WAS | 82 plays · 66% pass | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 6 Engine grade
Projected 5.7 · scored 16.3 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -10.6.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.6% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
93.2%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (10 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
39th of 42
13th of 42
40th of 42
3rd of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.