Strategy
Dynasty Buy Low and Sell High, Week 7
Dynasty buy-low and sell-high calls for Week 7: Bijan Robinson and Kyren Williams are discounts, Tre Tucker and Isaiah Likely are sells. Marcus Reyes.
By Marcus Reyes · October 20, 2026
Buy two running backs who had bad Sundays. Sell two pass catchers who had great ones. The Week 7 line for each player points the same way as the trade. Points below are half-PPR.
Buy: Bijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson scored 6.3 against a 20.2 projection in Atlanta's loss to Chicago. He ran nine times for 61 yards, then lost 8 yards on two catches. The season tracking is the cleaner read. He has gained 119 yards over expected, 1.5 per carry, tied with Jaylen Warren for second on our board behind Kenneth Walker III.
Our Week 7 line at San Francisco is 16.0 points on about 15 carries and three catches. That is below where the model had him last week, and it still ranks him 32nd on the board. Ask the owner what he would take for a 24-year-old with that efficiency and a bad week behind him.
Buy: Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams scored 8.2 against 17.9 projected as the Rams lost to Arizona. Blake Corum caught a touchdown and ran nine times for 42 yards, and that is the part owners will remember.
Kyren still had 10 of the Rams' 20 carries by non-quarterbacks, plus three catches for 17 yards. The model has him at 19.9 points against Las Vegas on about 19 carries and four or five catches. Corum is a threat to the margins of the job, not the job. If an owner panics, buy.
Sell: Tre Tucker
Tre Tucker caught five of seven targets for 97 yards and two touchdowns in the Raiders' loss to Buffalo. That was 24.2 points against a 9.0 projection.
The model expects 8.5 points against the Rams on about five targets. His tracking numbers show 2.3 yards of separation on 23 targets, near the bottom of the receivers on our board. He is still the first receiver on Las Vegas's depth chart, which is why this is the time to sell, not cut. Two touchdowns on seven targets is the price tag. Take it.
Sell: Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely caught six of 11 targets for 99 yards, a touchdown and a 2-point conversion for 20.9 points. His projection was 7.8.
Eleven targets is the number that will sell him, and it is the number the model does not trust. It has him at 11.4 points on about seven targets against Houston. Quarterback is also unsettled. Jaxson Dart is on IR with a meniscus injury, and Jameis Winston and J.J. McCarthy split the Giants' dropbacks last week, 26 attempts to 21. A tight end's value follows his quarterback. Sell.
What I'd do
I would make offers for Robinson and Williams today. Both owners have seen one bad box score, and neither has seen a change in role. I would shop Tucker and Likely before Sunday, since a quiet week from either will drop their price. Run the offer through the Dynasty Trade Calculator before you send it. NextDyne is currently in early access — join the waitlist and lock in Founding Franchise status at $2.00/player for life.
Join the founding waitlist
Founding leagues lock in $2.00 per player, forever. Price rises to $3.00 once the founding cohort is full.
Founding leagues also get permanent Founding Franchise status in your Vault history.
FAQ
- Is Bijan Robinson a buy after a six-point game?
- Yes. He scored 6.3 half-PPR on nine carries for 61 yards and two catches for minus-8. His season rushing is 1.5 yards over expected per carry, tied for second on our Week 7 board behind Kenneth Walker III. The model projects 16.0 points at San Francisco.
- Should I sell Kyren Williams because of Blake Corum?
- No. Kyren had 10 of the Rams’ 20 non-quarterback carries and three catches. Corum ran nine times and caught a touchdown. Kyren’s Week 7 line is 19.9 points against Las Vegas. Corum is worth holding as a backup.
- When is the best time to sell a receiver after a big game?
- Before the next game. Tre Tucker scored 24.2 against a 9.0 projection and is projected for 8.5 against the Rams. A player’s trade price peaks right after his best box score.