QB · CIN · #9
Joe Burrow
- Height
- HT 6'4"
- Weight
- WT 216 lbs
- Birth date
- Dec 10, 1996 (age 29.8)
- College
- LSU; Ohio State
Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,118
Range 5,567–6,659
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
291.8 pts
17.2 PPG · 15.0 games
4228.1 pass yds · 31.2 pass TD · 174.8 rush yds
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowBurrow threw for 254 yards and 1 TD in 2026, finishing QB19. Burrow’s recent seasons have been interrupted by calf and wrist issues — availability, not arm talent, is the dynasty swing factor. 2026 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Joe Burrow.
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Chase Brown finished RB9 on a cheap rookie contract and is now seeking an extension as the running back market resets. Here's his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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Is Joe Burrow's Dynasty Price Finally Right After the Turf Toe Discount?
Joe Burrow's dynasty price is lower than it's been in years after a turf toe surgery wiped out half his season. Here's why that's the buying window.
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Justin Herbert Keeps Getting Overlooked — What's the Market Missing?
Justin Herbert played through a broken hand in 2025 and still finished QB10. Here's why the market keeps underrating one of dynasty's steadiest quarterbacks.
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Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
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Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
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Is Ja'Marr Chase Untouchable in Dynasty Trades?
Ja'Marr Chase owns the top Dynasty Value Score of any receiver. Here's whether that makes him a true untouchable, or just the best asset with a price.
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Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
14.2
PPG
14.2
Positional finish
QB19
Key stats
- Pass yds: 254 (QB9)
- Pass TD: 1 (QB17)
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB19 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 254 | 1 | 20 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB29 | 134.5 | 16.8 | 1809 | 17 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB3 | 372.8 | 21.9 | 4918 | 43 | 201 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB25 | 147.2 | 14.7 | 2309 | 15 | 88 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB4 | 350.7 | 21.9 | 4475 | 35 | 257 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB8 | 314.2 | 19.6 | 4611 | 34 | 118 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB25 | 173.7 | 17.4 | 2688 | 13 | 142 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 14.2 | TB | 62 plays · 57% pass | 254 / 1 TD | 20 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 19.9 · scored 14.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +5.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- TB+13% · 254 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 87.8% mean
Pass-play participation
87.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.7%
- On-target throw %
- 75.0%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 202310 G · 1 Out
- 202417 G
- 20258 G · 2 Out
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.80s
- Aggressiveness
- 16.2%
- CPOE
- 2.1pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.7yd
20th of 42
15th of 42
13th of 42
18th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Joe Burrow's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Burrow scores 6,118 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Joe Burrow's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 17.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Joe Burrow in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.