QB · CIN · #9
Joe Burrow
- Height
- HT 6'4"
- Weight
- WT 216 lbs
- Birth date
- Dec 10, 1996 (age 29.7)
- College
- LSU; Ohio State
Only 8 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,287
Range 5,719–6,845
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
291.8 pts
17.2 PPG · 15.0 games
4228.1 pass yds · 31.2 pass TD · 174.8 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchBurrow threw for 1,809 yards and 17 TDs in 2025, finishing QB29. Burrow’s recent seasons have been interrupted by calf and wrist issues — availability, not arm talent, is the dynasty swing factor. 2025 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Joe Burrow.
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
134.5
PPG
16.8
Positional finish
QB29
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1809 (QB30)
- Pass TD: 17 (QB24)
2025: 16.8 PPG actual vs 17.3 expected from usage (8 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 3%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB29 | 134.5 | 16.8 | 1809 | 17 | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB3 | 372.8 | 21.9 | 4918 | 43 | 201 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB25 | 147.2 | 14.7 | 2309 | 15 | 88 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB4 | 350.7 | 21.9 | 4475 | 35 | 257 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB8 | 314.2 | 19.6 | 4611 | 34 | 118 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB25 | 173.7 | 17.4 | 2688 | 13 | 142 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 21.1 | CLE | 64 plays · 61% pass | 236 / 3 TD | 17 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 20.4 | ARI | 71 plays · 51% pass | 305 / 2 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 29.0 | MIA | 59 plays · 56% pass | 309 / 4 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 5.5 | BAL | 68 plays · 57% pass | 225 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 23.4 | BUF | 55 plays · 66% pass | 284 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 19.2 | BAL | 79 plays · 58% pass | 261 / 2 TD | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 7.0 | JAX | 62 plays · 73% pass | 76 / 1 TD | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 8.8 | CLE | 46 plays · 50% pass | 113 / 1 TD | 3 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- CLE-16% · 189 pass yards
- ARI+8% · 243 pass yards
- MIA+3% · 231 pass yards
- BAL+15% · 259 pass yards
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- JAX+3% · 231 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 87.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
87.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.7%
- On-target throw %
- 75.0%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.3s
Durability
- 202310 G · 1 Out
- 202417 G
- 20258 G · 2 Out
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.80s
- Aggressiveness
- 16.2%
- CPOE
- 2.1pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.7yd
20th of 42
15th of 42
13th of 42
18th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Joe Burrow's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Burrow scores 6,287 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Joe Burrow's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 17.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Joe Burrow in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.