QB · TB · #6
Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline.
Traded from CLE to CAR (Jul 6, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
7,334
Range 6,658–7,998
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
321.9 pts
18.9 PPG · 16.5 games
4378.5 pass yds · 30.4 pass TD · 381.9 rush yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Versatility ×1.02
Light floor from multi-role usage (rush+receive or dual-threat).
Mayfield threw for 216 yards in 2026, finishing QB26. QB12 slipped to QB26 last year; that's the warning. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Baker Mayfield.
5 Breakout Dynasty WRs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty WR names with a real role change: a $114 million Colts bet, a hamstring hangover that hid a top-10 start, and a Browns rookie still listed WR3.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Lamar Jackson Is 29 — Is the Rushing Floor Starting to Crack?
Lamar Jackson finished QB20 in an injury-wrecked 2025. Here's an honest look at whether it's a one-year dip or the start of a real decline.
Is Patrick Mahomes a Safe Dynasty Pick After ACL Tear?
Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL and LCL in December. Here's what his recovery timeline means for his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Half-PPR points
11.6
PPG
11.6
Positional finish
QB26
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB26 | 11.6 | 11.6 | 216 | — | 30 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB12 | 271.9 | 16.0 | 3693 | 26 | 382 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB4 | 365.8 | 21.5 | 4500 | 41 | 378 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB10 | 274.1 | 16.1 | 4044 | 28 | 163 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB29 | 121.4 | 10.1 | 2163 | 10 | 89 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB26 | 180.9 | 12.9 | 3010 | 17 | 134 | 1 | — | 11 | — |
| 2020 | QB17 | 248.1 | 15.5 | 3563 | 26 | 165 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
| 2019 | QB19 | 229.2 | 14.3 | 3827 | 22 | 141 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB16 | 240.1 | 17.2 | 3725 | 27 | 131 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 11.6 | CIN | 48 plays · 58% pass | 216 | 30 / 1 TD | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 21.4 · scored 11.6 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +9.8.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 97.1% mean
Pass-play participation
97.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
25th of 42
5th of 42
26th of 42
16th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.