QB · WAS · #8
Only 10 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
59.0 pts
3.5 PPG · 6.0 games
760.7 pass yds · 4.6 pass TD · 133.3 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.98
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Mariota threw for 1,695 yards and 10 TDs in 2025, finishing QB31. He scored about 16% less than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — QB45 to QB31 tells the story better than age. 2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Half-PPR points
125.5
PPG
12.6
Positional finish
QB31
Key stats
2025: 12.6 PPG actual vs 15.0 expected from usage (10 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 16%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB31 | 125.5 | 12.6 | 1695 | 10 | 297 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB45 | 45.8 | 15.3 | 364 | 4 | 92 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB62 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 164 | 1 | 52 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB20 | 196.6 | 15.1 | 2219 | 15 | 438 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB54 | 14.9 | 2.1 | 4 | — | 87 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB46 | 25.8 | 25.8 | 226 | 1 | 88 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB33 | 85.0 | 12.1 | 1203 | 7 | 129 | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB24 | 175.4 | 12.5 | 2528 | 11 | 357 | 2 | 1 | 21 | — |
| 2017 | QB18 | 210.5 | 14.0 | 3232 | 13 | 312 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB13 | 259.9 | 17.3 | 3426 | 26 | 349 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2015 | QB22 | 210.5 | 17.5 | 2818 | 19 | 252 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W16 | 3.7 | PHI | 49 plays · 47% pass | 95 | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 14.7 | NYG | 56 plays · 34% pass | 211 / 1 TD | 43 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | -2.1 | MIN | 47 plays · 51% pass | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 23.3 | DEN | 83 plays · 60% pass | 294 / 2 TD | 55 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 15.4 | MIA | 63 plays · 48% pass | 213 / 1 TD | 49 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 18.7 | DET | 49 plays · 45% pass | 213 / 2 TD | 22 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 11.3 | KC | 50 plays · 60% pass | 213 / 1 TD | 28 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 3.9 | DAL | 60 plays · 53% pass | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 16.2 | ATL | 49 plays · 55% pass | 156 / 2 TD | 20 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 20.3 | LV | 53 plays · 40% pass | 207 / 1 TD | 40 / 1 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 74.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
75.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
26th of 42
2nd of 42
9th of 42
1st of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.