Marcus Mariota headshot

QB · WAS · #8

Marcus MariotaQ

Height
HT 6'4"
Weight
WT 222 lbs
Birth date
Oct 30, 1993 (age 32.9)
College
Oregon

Only 10 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

59.0 pts

3.5 PPG · 6.0 games

760.7 pass yds · 4.6 pass TD · 133.3 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.98

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.98

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Mariota threw for 1,695 yards and 10 TDs in 2025, finishing QB31. He scored about 16% less than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — QB45 to QB31 tells the story better than age. 2025 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

125.5

PPG

12.6

Positional finish

QB31

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 1695 (QB32)
  • Pass TD: 10 (QB30)

2025: 12.6 PPG actual vs 15.0 expected from usage (10 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 16%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2025QB31125.512.61695102971
2024QB4545.815.33644921
2023QB6211.85.9164152
2022QB20196.615.12219154384
2021QB5414.92.14871
2020QB4625.825.82261881
2019QB3385.012.112037129
2018QB24175.412.52528113572121
2017QB18210.514.03232133125
2016QB13259.917.33426263492
2015QB22210.517.528181925221411

Career arc

01002003002015: 210.5 Half-PPR20152016: 259.9 Half-PPR20162017: 210.5 Half-PPR20172018: 175.4 Half-PPR20182019: 85.0 Half-PPR20192020: 25.8 Half-PPR20202021: 14.9 Half-PPR20212022: 196.6 Half-PPR20222023: 11.8 Half-PPR20232024: 45.8 Half-PPR20242025: 125.5 Half-PPR20252026 projection: 59.0 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2025 W163.7PHI49 plays · 47% pass95-10
2025 W1514.7NYG56 plays · 34% pass211 / 1 TD430
2025 W14-2.1MIN47 plays · 51% pass3070
2025 W1323.3DEN83 plays · 60% pass294 / 2 TD550
2025 W1115.4MIA63 plays · 48% pass213 / 1 TD490
2025 W1018.7DET49 plays · 45% pass213 / 2 TD220
2025 W811.3KC50 plays · 60% pass213 / 1 TD280
2025 W73.9DAL60 plays · 53% pass63340
2025 W416.2ATL49 plays · 55% pass156 / 2 TD200
2025 W320.3LV53 plays · 40% pass207 / 1 TD40 / 1 TD0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015202530354035101516Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 74.5% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

25507510035101516Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

75.5%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressure rate
19.5%
On-target throw %
74.8%
Avg time in pocket
2.4s

Durability

  • 2023
    2 G
  • 2024
    3 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    10 G · 2 Out
  • 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R1 (2 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Time to throw
2.85s

26th of 42

Aggressiveness
19.8%

2nd of 42

CPOE
3.3pp

9th of 42

Air yds to sticks
1.2yd

1st of 42

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Marcus Mariota's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Mariota scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Marcus Mariota's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Marcus Mariota in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.