A.J. Brown headshot

WR · NE · #1

A.J. BrownIR

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 226 lbs
Birth date
Jun 30, 1997 (age 29.3)
College
Mississippi

He ranks WR124 through 1 game, down from WR14. Early, not a finished step down.

Traded from PHI to NE (Jun 2, 2026).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

5,522

Range 4,978–5,936

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

189.9 pts

11.2 PPG · 15.5 games

78.3 rec · 1068.9 rec yds · 7.2 rec TD

Week 4 projection

0.0 pts

@ BUF · floor–ceiling 0.0–0.0

Dynasty Value Score over time

5,3005,4005,5005,600Preseason 2026: 5,393Preseason 20262026 W1: 5,5572026 W12026 W2: 5,5572026 W22026 W3: 5,5572026 W3

History starts Preseason 2026.

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Brown caught 3 passes for 26 yards in 2026, ranking WR124 through 1 game. From WR14 to WR124 through 1 game is a dip in pace, not a locked finish. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention A.J. Brown.

2026 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

4.1

PPG

4.1

Rank so far

WR124

Key stats

  • Rec: 3 (WR107)
  • Rec yds: 26 (WR122)
  • Rec TD: —

2026 week shape

0/1 Boom 0%

1/1 Bust 100%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2026WR124so far4.14.1326—————
2025WR14181.312.17810037————
2024WR18183.414.16710797————
2023WR7236.613.910614567————
2022WR5255.615.088149611————
2021WR32149.411.563869510———
2020WR12206.514.870107511————
2019WR15191.111.95210518601——

Career arc

01002003002019: 191.1 Half-PPR19120192020: 206.5 Half-PPR20720202021: 149.4 Half-PPR14920212022: 255.6 Half-PPR25620222023: 236.6 Half-PPR23720232024: 183.4 Half-PPR18320242025: 181.3 Half-PPR18120252026: 4.1 Half-PPR420262026 projection: 189.9 Half-PPR1902026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2026)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2026 W14.1BustSEA64 plays · 52% pass26 · 3 rec00

Week 1 Engine grade

Projected 12.8 · scored 4.1 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +8.7.

League-wide accuracy table

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • SEA
    -31% · 161 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 90.7% mean

255075100W1W18

Pass-play participation

95.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
7
Avg depth of target
11.8
Drop %
0.8%

Durability

  • 2024
    13 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    15 G · 1 Out
  • 2026
    1 G
  • 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.

R2 (51 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.24yd

78th of 85

Cushion
5.74yd

62nd of 85

YAC above expected
1.06yd

15th of 85

Air yards share
33.4%

15th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is A.J. Brown's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Brown scores 5,522 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is A.J. Brown's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 11.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for A.J. Brown in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.