QB · BAL · #8
QB1 slipped to QB20 last year; that's the warning.
Picked by the Ravens in 2018 via a trade with the Eagles.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,893
Range 6,263–7,513
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
293.2 pts
17.2 PPG · 15.0 games
3357.6 pass yds · 24.4 pass TD · 566.6 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.98
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Jackson threw for 2,549 yards and 21 TDs in 2025, finishing QB20. Recent form cooled from QB1 to QB20 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. 2026 still looks like a starter, not a stash. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Lamar Jackson.
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Half-PPR points
214.9
PPG
16.5
Positional finish
QB20
Key stats
2025: 16.5 PPG actual vs 15.9 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 4%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB20 | 214.9 | 16.5 | 2549 | 21 | 349 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB1 | 430.4 | 25.3 | 4172 | 41 | 915 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB4 | 331.2 | 20.7 | 3678 | 24 | 821 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB14 | 236.1 | 19.7 | 2242 | 17 | 764 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB16 | 240.0 | 20.0 | 2882 | 16 | 767 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB10 | 332.8 | 22.2 | 2757 | 26 | 1005 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB1 | 415.7 | 27.7 | 3127 | 36 | 1206 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB29 | 157.5 | 9.8 | 1201 | 6 | 695 | 5 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 20.4 | PIT | 45 plays · 40% pass | 238 / 3 TD | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 4.7 | NE | 53 plays · 38% pass | 101 | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 14.6 | CIN | 36 plays · 33% pass | 150 / 2 TD | 26 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 21.1 | PIT | 75 plays · 47% pass | 219 / 1 TD | 43 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 6.5 | CIN | 54 plays · 59% pass | 246 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 7.2 | NYJ | 57 plays · 40% pass | 153 | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.7 | CLE | 55 plays · 46% pass | 193 | 10 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 16.6 | MIN | 65 plays · 45% pass | 176 / 1 TD | 36 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 25.6 | MIA | 54 plays · 43% pass | 204 / 4 TD | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 10.7 | KC | 50 plays · 66% pass | 147 / 1 TD | 48 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 92.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
93.1%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (32 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
38th of 42
39th of 42
31st of 42
6th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.