Case Keenum headshot

QB · CHI · #11

Case Keenum

Height
HT 6'1"
Weight
WT 220 lbs
Birth date
Feb 17, 1988 (age 38.6)
College
Houston

2023 stopped at 2 games; staying on the field is the swing factor; the downside gets steeper at 38.6.

Traded from CLE to BUF (Mar 19, 2022).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

5.1 pts

0.3 PPG · 4.0 games

80.7 pass yds · 0.5 pass TD · 1 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

Quick answer

Buy low

Keenum threw for 291 yards and 1 TD in 2023, finishing QB64. He scored about 50% less than his touches said he should. The arc is recovery: QB47, then QB79, now QB64. Played a short 2023 (2 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

2023 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

9.7

PPG

4.9

Positional finish

QB64

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 291 (QB57)
  • Pass TD: 1 (QB59)

2023 week shape

0/1 Boom 0%

0/1 Bust 0%

Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.

2023: 4.9 PPG actual vs 9.8 expected from usage (2 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 50%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2023QB649.74.929111
2022QB790.30.28
2021QB4728.75.7462322
2020QB731.81.846
2019QB31103.510.4170711121
2018QB19214.913.4389018932
2017QB14237.915.93547221601
2016QB30111.111.122019511
2015QB4043.68.782845
2014QB4522.911.5435235
2013QB34103.613.017609721

Career arc

01002003002013: 103.6 Half-PPR20132014: 22.9 Half-PPR20142015: 43.6 Half-PPR20152016: 111.1 Half-PPR20162017: 237.9 Half-PPR20172018: 214.9 Half-PPR20182019: 103.5 Half-PPR20192020: 1.8 Half-PPR20202021: 28.7 Half-PPR20212022: 0.3 Half-PPR20222023: 9.7 Half-PPR20232026 projection: 5.1 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2023)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2023 W16-1.5BustCLE65 plays · 75% pass6200
2023 W1511.3TEN68 plays · 53% pass229 / 1 TD10

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpectedBoom 20+Bust under 5
5101520251516Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2023, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • CLE
    -22% · 185 pass yards
  • TEN
    +4% · 246 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2023 offense · 74.0% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

2550751001516Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

64.2%

2023· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2023)

Pressure rate
20.3%
On-target throw %
72.5%
Avg time in pocket
2.5s

Durability

  • 2023
    2 G
  • 2024
  • 2025
  • 4.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

Undrafted QB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.

Next Gen Stats

No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Case Keenum's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Keenum scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Case Keenum's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 0.3 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Case Keenum in dynasty right now?
That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.