QB · FA · #3
Only 6 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Traded from SEA to DEN (Mar 8, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — QB role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
33.7 pts
2.0 PPG · 4.0 games
486.5 pass yds · 3.1 pass TD · 30.4 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Wilson threw for 831 yards and 3 TDs in 2025, finishing QB44. He scored about 33% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from QB24 to QB44 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Only 6 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Half-PPR points
49.8
PPG
8.3
Positional finish
QB44
Key stats
2025: 8.3 PPG actual vs 12.4 expected from usage (6 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 33%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB44 | 49.8 | 8.3 | 831 | 3 | 106 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB24 | 172.8 | 15.7 | 2482 | 16 | 155 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB14 | 256.9 | 17.1 | 3070 | 26 | 341 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB16 | 225.3 | 15.0 | 3524 | 16 | 277 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2021 | QB15 | 242.8 | 17.3 | 3113 | 25 | 183 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB6 | 359.8 | 22.5 | 4212 | 40 | 513 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB3 | 328.6 | 20.5 | 4110 | 31 | 342 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB9 | 298.9 | 18.7 | 3448 | 35 | 376 | — | 1 | -11 | — |
| 2017 | QB1 | 347.9 | 21.7 | 3983 | 34 | 586 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | QB10 | 269.1 | 16.8 | 4219 | 21 | 259 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| 2015 | QB3 | 336.3 | 21.0 | 4024 | 34 | 553 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2014 | QB3 | 328.1 | 20.5 | 3475 | 20 | 849 | 6 | 1 | 17 | — |
| 2013 | QB8 | 272.2 | 17.0 | 3357 | 26 | 539 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2012 | QB11 | 275.6 | 17.2 | 3118 | 26 | 489 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W10 | 3.0 | CHI | 66 plays · 55% pass | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 0.0 | PHI | 65 plays · 40% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 0.3 | LAC | 63 plays · 33% pass | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 5.1 | KC | 59 plays · 54% pass | 160 | 27 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 30.3 | DAL | 62 plays · 66% pass | 450 / 3 TD | 23 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 11.1 | WAS | 60 plays · 62% pass | 168 | 44 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 54.3% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
52.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (75 overall) QB · that slot hit at 10.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=19; contributor 10.5%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
28th of 43
30th of 43
19th of 43
23rd of 43
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.