Geno Smith headshot

QB · NYJ · #7

Geno Smith

Height
HT 6'3"
Weight
WT 221 lbs
Birth date
Oct 10, 1990 (age 35.9)
College
West Virginia

QB14 slipped to QB24 last year; that's the warning; the downside gets steeper at 35.9.

Traded from LV to NYJ (Mar 10, 2026).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

765

Range 764765

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

201.5 pts

11.9 PPG · 15.0 games

3267 pass yds · 20.5 pass TD · 117.7 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Process ×0.98

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Smith threw for 3,025 yards and 19 TDs in 2025, finishing QB24. He scored about 10% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: QB14 → QB24 over the last two seasons. At 36, age is the lead risk for a QB. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

173.9

PPG

11.6

Positional finish

QB24

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 3025 (QB20)
  • Pass TD: 19 (QB21)

2025: 11.6 PPG actual vs 12.9 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 10%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2025QB24173.911.6302519109
2024QB14266.015.64320212722
2023QB19226.815.136242015511-2
2022QB5303.917.94282303661
2021QB4054.313.67025421
2020QB751.11.133-2
2018QB71-1.5-0.482
2017QB539.74.9212112
2016QB557.94.012619
2015QB5120.020.0265234
2014QB26150.810.82525132381
2013QB20194.212.13046123666113

Career arc

01002003004002013: 194.2 Half-PPR20132014: 150.8 Half-PPR2015: 20.0 Half-PPR20152016: 7.9 Half-PPR2017: 9.7 Half-PPR20172018: -1.5 Half-PPR2020: 1.1 Half-PPR20202021: 54.3 Half-PPR2022: 303.9 Half-PPR20222023: 226.8 Half-PPR2024: 266.0 Half-PPR20242025: 173.9 Half-PPR2026 projection: 201.5 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2025 W177.1NYG50 plays · 60% pass176 / 1 TD10
2025 W1614.0HOU50 plays · 46% pass201 / 2 TD00
2025 W149.0DEN44 plays · 73% pass116 / 1 TD40
2025 W1312.0LAC41 plays · 56% pass165 / 2 TD-60
2025 W1214.2CLE65 plays · 68% pass285 / 1 TD80
2025 W1112.9DAL54 plays · 78% pass238 / 1 TD140
2025 W104.4DEN52 plays · 52% pass14370
2025 W926.3JAX58 plays · 67% pass284 / 4 TD90
2025 W72.8KC29 plays · 62% pass6710
2025 W68.7TEN55 plays · 42% pass174 / 1 TD-30

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152025306101517Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • HOU
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • CLE
    -16% · 189 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • JAX
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 96.5% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

2550751006101517Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

96.7%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressure rate
22.8%
On-target throw %
77.0%
Avg time in pocket
2.5s

Durability

  • 2023
    15 G
  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    15 G · 2 Out
  • 15.0 projected games — last three seasons at a full slate.

R2 (39 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Time to throw
2.80s

19th of 42

Aggressiveness
14.7%

23rd of 42

CPOE
0.8pp

17th of 42

Air yds to sticks
-2.3yd

37th of 42

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Geno Smith's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Smith scores 765 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Geno Smith's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 11.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Geno Smith in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.