QB · IND · #17
Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,674
Range 4,272–5,069
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
248.5 pts
14.6 PPG · 15.0 games
3500.8 pass yds · 20 pass TD · 330.8 rush yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Jones threw for 166 yards and 1 TD in 2026, finishing QB29. QB18 slipped to QB29 last year; that's the warning. Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Daniel Jones.
Should You Believe the Jaxson Dart Hype in Dynasty?
Dart posted 24 total touchdowns as a rookie without his WR1 or RB1. Public QB rankings still have him outside the top 20. NextDyne's model doesn't.
Is Tyler Warren the Rookie TE Breakout Everyone's Missing?
Warren finished TE5 as a rookie on pure receiving efficiency, then Indy handed him every target Michael Pittman left behind. Here's the buy case.
Half-PPR points
9.0
PPG
9.0
Positional finish
QB29
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB29 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 166 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB18 | 226.4 | 17.4 | 3101 | 19 | 164 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB28 | 135.3 | 13.5 | 2070 | 8 | 265 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB44 | 57.0 | 9.5 | 909 | 2 | 206 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB9 | 289.0 | 18.1 | 3205 | 15 | 708 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB27 | 167.0 | 15.2 | 2428 | 10 | 298 | 2 | 1 | 16 | — |
| 2020 | QB24 | 180.0 | 12.9 | 2943 | 11 | 423 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB24 | 215.0 | 16.5 | 3027 | 24 | 279 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 9.0 | BAL | 51 plays · 61% pass | 166 / 1 TD | 4 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 17.9 · scored 9.0 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +8.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 91.5% mean
Pass-play participation
91.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (6 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
9th of 42
7th of 42
6th of 42
14th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.