RB · NO · #41
Production trend is soft: RB10 → RB50 over the last two seasons; 2025 also ended early (11 games).
Picked by the Saints in 2017 via a trade with the 49ers.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,733
Range 2,530–2,931
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Win-now veteran — still scores, but dynasty runway is short at this age for a RB.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
141.5 pts
8.3 PPG · 15.5 games
571.3 rush yds · 40.8 rec · 325.5 rec yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Kamara ran for 471 yards and caught 33 passes in 2025, finishing RB50. He scored about 21% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from RB10 to RB50 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Played a short 2025 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Alvin Kamara.
Injury cascade: who actually gains touches
Which dynasty names actually gain touches when injuries hit? Season-board DVS and 2025 usage — not a weekly rankings list — with Char and Guerendo on 2025 pages only.
You're Going for It. Here's Who to Target.
Dynasty contenders should buy the same DVS-ahead vets a rebuild is selling — then filter by the one thing a rebuild can't use: a soft Weeks 15-17 playoff slate.
You're Rebuilding. Here's Who to Target.
Dynasty rebuilds are won on three fronts — rookie draft capital, real buy-low gaps between 2026 projection and Dynasty Value Score, and knowing which vets to flip while that score is still high.
Alvin Kamara Injures His Knee, and the Saints Already Knew Who the Lead Back Was
Alvin Kamara left Saints-Cowboys joint practice with a knee injury and will miss a few weeks. Here is what it means for his role behind Travis Etienne.
Half-PPR points
84.2
PPG
7.7
Positional finish
RB50
Key stats
2025: 7.7 PPG actual vs 9.7 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 21%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB50 | 84.2 | 7.7 | 471 | 1 | 33 | 186 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | RB10 | 231.3 | 16.5 | 950 | 6 | 68 | 543 | 2 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB14 | 195.5 | 15.0 | 694 | 5 | 75 | 466 | 1 | — | — |
| 2022 | RB18 | 183.2 | 12.2 | 897 | 2 | 57 | 490 | 2 | — | — |
| 2021 | RB8 | 211.2 | 16.2 | 898 | 4 | 47 | 439 | 5 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB1 | 336.3 | 22.4 | 932 | 16 | 83 | 756 | 5 | — | — |
| 2019 | RB12 | 208.0 | 14.9 | 797 | 5 | 81 | 533 | 1 | 13 | — |
| 2018 | RB4 | 313.7 | 20.9 | 883 | 14 | 81 | 709 | 4 | — | — |
| 2017 | RB3 | 273.9 | 17.1 | 728 | 8 | 81 | 826 | 5 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W12 | 2.5 | ATL | 73 plays · 62% pass | 11 | 4 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 13.0 | CAR | 65 plays · 43% pass | 83 | 32 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 0.2 | LA | 39 plays · 64% pass | 14 | 3 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 5.5 | TB | 66 plays · 77% pass | 21 | 24 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 4.4 | CHI | 49 plays · 65% pass | 28 | 1 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 10.1 | NE | 49 plays · 53% pass | 31 | 45 · 5 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 7.5 | NYG | 62 plays · 52% pass | 27 | 28 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 9.2 | BUF | 62 plays · 45% pass | 70 | 2 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 6.1 | SEA | 68 plays · 60% pass | 42 | 14 · 1 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 13.0 | SF | 64 plays · 53% pass | 99 | 21 · 6 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 63.7% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
63.9%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (67 overall) RB · that slot hit at 47.4% in 2010–2023 classes (n=38; contributor 63.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
49th of 51
43rd of 51
51st of 51
2nd of 51
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.