RB · MIN · #33
Aaron Jones
- Height
- HT 5'9"
- Weight
- WT 208 lbs
- Birth date
- Dec 2, 1994 (age 31.8)
- College
- Texas-El Paso
RB16 slipped to RB43 last year; that's the warning; the downside gets steeper at 31.8.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,004
Range 1,876–2,128
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Win-now veteran — still scores, but dynasty runway is short at this age for a RB.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
181.6 pts
10.7 PPG · 15.0 games
873 rush yds · 42.8 rec · 328.8 rec yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.96
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchJones ran for 548 yards and caught 28 passes in 2025, finishing RB43. He scored about 9% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: RB16 → RB43 over the last two seasons. At 32, age is the lead risk for a RB. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Aaron Jones.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
104.7
PPG
8.7
Positional finish
RB43
Key stats
- Rush yds: 548 (RB37)
- Rec: 28 (RB33)
2025: 8.7 PPG actual vs 9.6 expected from usage (12 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 9%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | RB43 | 104.7 | 8.7 | 548 | 2 | 28 | 199 | 1 | — | — |
| 2024 | RB16 | 216.1 | 12.7 | 1138 | 5 | 51 | 408 | 2 | — | — |
| 2023 | RB37 | 119.9 | 10.9 | 656 | 2 | 30 | 233 | 1 | — | — |
| 2022 | RB9 | 219.1 | 12.9 | 1121 | 2 | 59 | 395 | 5 | — | — |
| 2021 | RB12 | 203.0 | 13.5 | 799 | 4 | 52 | 391 | 6 | — | — |
| 2020 | RB5 | 235.4 | 16.8 | 1104 | 9 | 47 | 355 | 2 | — | — |
| 2019 | RB2 | 290.3 | 18.1 | 1084 | 16 | 49 | 474 | 3 | — | — |
| 2018 | RB23 | 158.4 | 13.2 | 728 | 8 | 26 | 206 | 1 | — | — |
| 2017 | RB54 | 75.5 | 7.6 | 448 | 4 | 9 | 22 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rush | Rec | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 13.8 | DET | 44 plays · 36% pass | 53 / 1 TD | 10 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 10.3 | NYG | 54 plays · 43% pass | 85 | 8 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 8.0 | DAL | 52 plays · 46% pass | 34 | 31 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 7.6 | WAS | 57 plays · 40% pass | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 2.5 | SEA | 46 plays · 65% pass | 3 | 22 · 4 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 7.2 | GB | 39 plays · 49% pass | 41 | 16 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 9.6 | CHI | 54 plays · 59% pass | 70 | 11 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 14.4 | BAL | 60 plays · 70% pass | 47 / 1 TD | 22 · 3 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 10.8 | DET | 54 plays · 46% pass | 78 | 20 · 2 rec | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 4.0 | LAC | 42 plays · 74% pass | 15 | 15 · 2 rec | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- DET-2% · 115 rush yards
- NYG+24% · 145 rush yards
- DAL+7% · 126 rush yards
- WAS+21% · 142 rush yards
- SEA-21% · 92 rush yards
- GB+1% · 118 rush yards
- CHI+15% · 135 rush yards
- BAL-9% · 107 rush yards
- LAC-10% · 105 rush yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 55.1% mean
carry share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
59.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Yards after contact / att
- 1.8
- Yards before contact / att
- 2.4
- Broken tackles
- 5
Durability
- 202311 G · 2 Out
- 202417 G
- 202512 G · 1 Out
- 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R5 (182 overall) RB · that slot hit at 18.2% in 2010–2023 classes (n=44; contributor 22.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- RYOE / att
- -0.12yd
- Efficiency
- 3.92
- 8+ in box
- 25.0%
- Time to LOS
- 2.90s
39th of 51
35th of 51
25th of 51
39th of 51
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Aaron Jones's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Jones scores 2,004 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Aaron Jones's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 10.7 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Aaron Jones in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.