WR · NE · #1
A.J. Brown
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 226 lbs
- Birth date
- Jun 30, 1997 (age 29.2)
- College
- Mississippi
Year-to-year finishes haven't moved much; continuity is the read.
Traded from PHI to NE (Jun 2, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,557
Range 5,009–5,974
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
189.9 pts
11.2 PPG · 15.5 games
78.3 rec · 1068.9 rec yds · 7.2 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
HoldBrown caught 78 passes for 1,003 yards in 2025, finishing WR14. He scored 7% more than his touches said he should. Age 29 WR — the profile is quiet, not loud. 2026 looks more like a flex than a locked starter. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention A.J. Brown.
- StrategyNextDyne
AFC East Dynasty Fantasy Outlook 2026
A team-by-team dynasty breakdown of the AFC East for 2026 — Josh Allen, De'Von Achane, Drake Maye, and a Miami passing game that changed completely.
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Is Hunter Henry Worth Rostering at 32?
Hunter Henry just signed a new extension after a career-high season with Drake Maye. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into his age-32 year.
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Is DK Metcalf Still a Startable Dynasty WR?
DK Metcalf posted a career-low receiving season in 2025 playing with an aging Aaron Rodgers. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value with a new head coach in Pittsburgh.
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Is Drake Maye the Best Buy-Low QB in Dynasty?
Drake Maye finished QB2 in 2025 and just got A.J. Brown as a new weapon. The latest board has caught up — 8,045 DVS, fourth among quarterbacks.
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Is Marvin Harrison Jr. Still a Dynasty Buy, or Is the Bust Talk Real?
Marvin Harrison Jr.'s sophomore season was rougher than his rookie year, with real drop issues and a crowded target hierarchy. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value.
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Does the Move to New England Help or Hurt A.J. Brown's Value?
A.J. Brown left a strained situation in Philadelphia to reunite with his first NFL head coach in New England. Here's what the move means for his dynasty value.
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Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
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Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
181.3
PPG
12.1
Positional finish
WR14
Key stats
- Rec: 78 (WR13)
- Rec yds: 1003 (WR18)
- Rec TD: 7 (WR11)
2025: 12.1 PPG actual vs 11.3 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 7%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR14 | 181.3 | 12.1 | 78 | 1003 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR18 | 183.4 | 14.1 | 67 | 1079 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR7 | 236.6 | 13.9 | 106 | 1456 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR5 | 255.6 | 15.0 | 88 | 1496 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR32 | 149.4 | 11.5 | 63 | 869 | 5 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR12 | 206.5 | 14.8 | 70 | 1075 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR15 | 191.1 | 11.9 | 52 | 1051 | 8 | 60 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 9.3 | BUF | 53 plays · 51% pass | 68 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 14.0 | WAS | 64 plays · 47% pass | 95 · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 11.1 | LV | 65 plays · 28% pass | 41 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 13.0 | LAC | 65 plays · 62% pass | 100 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 30.2 | CHI | 51 plays · 67% pass | 132 / 2 TD · 10 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 21.0 | DAL | 57 plays · 68% pass | 110 / 1 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 8.4 | DET | 68 plays · 41% pass | 49 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 2.3 | GB | 60 plays · 43% pass | 13 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 26.1 | MIN | 46 plays · 50% pass | 121 / 2 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 11.0 | NYG | 53 plays · 62% pass | 80 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- BUF-24% · 170 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- LAC-13% · 195 pass yards
- CHI+6% · 239 pass yards
- DAL+18% · 266 pass yards
- DET+5% · 237 pass yards
- GB-8% · 207 pass yards
- MIN-21% · 178 pass yards
- NYG+2% · 230 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 90.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
95.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 7
- Avg depth of target
- 11.8
- Drop %
- 0.8%
Durability
- 202317 G
- 202413 G · 1 Out
- 202515 G · 1 Out
- 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R2 (51 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 2.24yd
- Cushion
- 5.74yd
- YAC above expected
- 1.06yd
- Air yards share
- 33.4%
78th of 85
62nd of 85
15th of 85
15th of 85
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is A.J. Brown's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Brown scores 5,557 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is A.J. Brown's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 11.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for A.J. Brown in dynasty right now?
- This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.