QB · MIN · #1
2026 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,285
Range 2,129–2,439
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
318.0 pts
18.7 PPG · 16.5 games
4039.1 pass yds · 24.1 pass TD · 562.4 rush yds
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Murray threw for 18 yards in 2026, finishing QB37. Expect range, not a smooth curve — recent finishes span QB10 to QB38. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Kyler Murray.
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Half-PPR points
-0.4
PPG
-0.4
Positional finish
QB37
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB37 | -0.4 | -0.4 | 18 | — | 9 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB38 | 77.8 | 15.6 | 962 | 6 | 173 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB10 | 297.2 | 17.5 | 3851 | 21 | 572 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB26 | 146.4 | 18.3 | 1799 | 10 | 244 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB18 | 200.5 | 18.2 | 2368 | 14 | 418 | 3 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB10 | 300.5 | 21.5 | 3787 | 24 | 423 | 5 | — | 7 | — |
| 2020 | QB3 | 378.7 | 23.7 | 3971 | 26 | 819 | 11 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB8 | 285.3 | 17.8 | 3722 | 20 | 544 | 4 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | -0.4 | GB | 58 plays · 41% pass | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 19.5 · scored -0.4 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +19.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 98.8% mean
Pass-play participation
99.4%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (1 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
7th of 42
29th of 42
24th of 42
39th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.