Rankings

Top 40 Running Backs: 2026 Season Projections

Running back is the deepest position in dynasty and the hardest to draft. Here's how our model sees the next 40, and where the numbers argue with the consensus.

By Kenny Flermoen · July 31, 2026

Running back is where fantasy production and dynasty value pull furthest apart. A back can score RB1 numbers on a one-year lease and lose the job by 26. So this list answers one question only: who scores the most points in 2026. It says nothing about who you should want to own three years from now — that's a separate list, and the gaps between the two are usually bigger at this position than any other.

Top 40 RB — 2026 Projected Half-PPR Points

Top 40 running back projections for 2026
RankPlayerTeamHalf-PPR FPPPG
1Christian McCaffreySF369.024.6
2Bijan RobinsonATL353.521.4
3Jahmyr GibbsDET319.219.7
4Saquon BarkleyPHI313.319.6
5Ashton JeantyLV309.918.8
6Jonathan TaylorIND309.719.4
7De'Von AchaneMIA306.719.2
8Omarion HamptonLAC296.718.5
9Kyren WilliamsLA295.318.5
10Bucky IrvingTB274.817.2
11Jeremiyah LoveARI272.317.0
12Quinshon JudkinsCLE270.816.9
13Josh JacobsGB265.416.6
14James CookBUF260.416.0
15D'Andre SwiftCHI244.215.3
16Derrick HenryBAL242.215.9
17Cam SkatteboNYG241.915.1
18Breece HallNYJ238.914.9
19Chase BrownCIN235.014.7
20Alvin KamaraNO233.115.5
21Travis EtienneNO230.014.4
22TreVeyon HendersonNE227.313.8
23Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG225.614.1
24Tony PollardTEN224.713.8
25Javonte WilliamsDAL224.414.0
26Chuba HubbardCAR221.713.9
27James ConnerARI220.814.7
28Kenneth Walker IIIKC215.213.4
29RJ HarveyDEN213.713.0
30J.K. DobbinsDEN212.913.3
31David MontgomeryHOU212.313.3
32Jaydon BlueDAL208.813.1
33Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS197.712.0
34Woody MarksHOU195.512.2
35Rhamondre StevensonNE194.712.2
36Kimani VidalLAC192.612.0
37Bam KnightARI189.711.9
38Isiah PachecoDET187.111.7
39Dylan SampsonCLE185.711.6
40Jaylen WarrenPIT183.411.5

Ranked by projected half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season. This is a scoring projection, not a trade value ranking.

The top of the board doesn't share a job description

Christian McCaffreyleads the position by 15 points, and almost none of it comes from carries. He's the only projected back in the top 10 with over 100 catches, and that receiving role is what separates him from Bijan Robinson right below — Robinson gets there almost entirely on the ground, with over 320 projected carries and 1,500-plus rushing yards. Saquon Barkley's profile looks like Robinson's taken further: heavy volume, minimal receiving, the lowest catch rate of any back in the top 10.

That split matters more than the ranking itself. A back who wins on catches holds his points floor even in a bad game script. A back who wins on carries needs the offense to keep feeding him — which is exactly what makes McCaffrey, at 30, and Barkley, at 29, two names to watch when the dynasty trade value list drops. Both are top-five here on pure production. Age curves at running back are brutal, and neither gets a pass for being good right now.

Derrick Henryis the extreme version of that same story. He's 32, older than every other back in this top 20, and still projected for the position's best rushing-touchdown rate outside Jonathan Taylor. Alvin Kamara, at 31, is projected for more points per game than 17 backs younger than him. Production doesn't expire on a set schedule — but for both, the question a dynasty roster has to answer is how many more years of this is left, not whether this year is real.

The rookie class splits three ways

Jeremiyah Lovewent third overall in April — the highest a running back has been drafted since Saquon Barkley in 2018 — and he's projected 11th here in his first season. That gap between draft slot and Year 1 production is normal for the position; ask Barkley's own class, or ask Bijan Robinson, who needed a full season before the touches caught up to the talent. Love's number here is a floor, not a ceiling.

Quinshon Judkins and Cam Skattebotell a different rookie story. Both were 2025 draft picks whose rookie seasons ended early to injury — Judkins to a fractured fibula, Skattebo to a dislocated ankle — after each had shown enough to be trending toward a real role. This projection has them back near full strength and again as their team's clear lead back, which is why both land inside the top 20 in a stronger spot than most players coming off a shortened first year.

RJ Harveyis the quiet name in that same draft class. He went in the second round to Denver, didn't separate from the rest of Denver's backfield as a rookie, and sits 29th here — a long way down from where his draft slot alone would put him. That's the running back version of a name to watch rather than a name to buy: draft capital is still on the resume even when the box score isn't.

The next tier is about efficiency, not touches

Jonathan Taylor, De'Von Achane, Omarion Hampton, and Kyren Williamscluster together in the 6–9 range, and each gets there a different way. Taylor projects for the highest rushing-touchdown rate of any back on this board — he doesn't need huge yardage totals when he's the one crossing the goal line. Achane wins with efficiency on a smaller workload, averaging more per touch than backs getting 60 more carries than him. Hampton, entering his second season, gets there on pure volume in a run-heavy scheme. Kyren Williams is the closest thing to a true bell cow left in this group, projected for over 300 carries in an offense built to feed him. Four different paths to a similar point total — worth knowing before you assume similar rankings mean similar players.

A backfield built for two

New Orleans signed Travis Etiennein free agency this offseason to take over as the presumptive lead back, and the expectation around the league was that it would push out longtime starter Alvin Kamara. Instead, Kamara reworked his deal to stay, and the Saints are now running the two of them as a 1/1B pairing rather than a clean handoff. That's exactly what this board shows: Etienne and Kamara land one spot apart at 21st and 20th, both solid RB2 numbers, neither the workhorse either would be on his own. It's a good reminder that a crowded backfield doesn't always mean a timeshare of leftovers — sometimes it means two capable backs splitting a good one.

Twenty backs, one shrinking pie

The back half of this list is where the math gets honest. Tony Pollard, Javonte Williams, Chuba Hubbard, James Conner— none of these are bad backs. They're backs sharing a backfield, a game plan, or both. J.K. Dobbinsand RJ Harvey splitting Denver's touches is a real depth-chart problem for both of their point totals, not a talent gap between them and the guys 10 spots up. Same story with Jaydon Blue in Dallas behind Javonte Williams, or Woody Marksand the rest of Houston's committee.

That's worth remembering any time this list gets read as a straight power ranking. A back at 30 isn't necessarily worse than a back at 20 — he might just have a smaller cut of a similar offense. Role changes fast at this position. A single injury ahead of any name in the 25–40 range can move a player 15 spots overnight, which is exactly why this board is worth checking back on through the season rather than setting once in August.

Model any of these players against your own roster on the Dynasty Trade Calculator — toggle PPR and TE Premium settings to match your league. For the shorter board, see our top 10 by position.

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FAQ

How are these running back rankings calculated?
They're ranked by projected half-PPR fantasy points for the 2026 season — a pure scoring forecast, not a measure of trade or long-term dynasty value.
What's the difference between this list and NextDyne's Dynasty Value rankings?
This list ranks who scores the most points in 2026. Dynasty Value Score ranks who's worth the most in a trade, which weighs age and career runway on top of next year's production. The two disagree most at running back, where value falls off fastest.
Why do committee backfields hurt a back's ranking here?
A shared backfield means shared touches, and touches drive fantasy points. A back stuck in a committee can be just as talented as one with a clear role — he's just working with a smaller share of the offense.

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