J.K. Dobbins headshot

RB · DEN · #27

J.K. Dobbins

Height
HT 5'10"
Weight
WT 214 lbs
Birth date
Dec 17, 1998 (age 27.7)
College
Ohio State

Played a short 2025 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.

Picked by the Ravens in 2020 via a trade with the Falcons.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

2,942

Range 2,7183,161

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Elite RB production now; the age curve is already in the score.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

185.6 pts

10.9 PPG · 15.5 games

1006.6 rush yds · 29.2 rec · 159.4 rec yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.92

    3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×1.01

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Watch

Dobbins ran for 772 yards and caught 11 passes in 2025, finishing RB41. He scored 7% more than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from RB23 to RB41 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. Only 10 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

110.4

PPG

11.0

Positional finish

RB41

Key stats

  • Rush yds: 772 (RB25)
  • Rec: 11 (RB68)

2025: 11.0 PPG actual vs 10.3 expected from usage (10 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 7%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TDPass ydPass TD
2025RB41110.411.077241137
2024RB23175.813.5905932153
2023RB10910.710.7221215
2022RB5277.79.752027421
2020RB21159.510.6805918120

Career arc

01002003002020: 159.5 Half-PPR16020202022: 77.7 Half-PPR7820222023: 10.7 Half-PPR1120232024: 175.8 Half-PPR17620242025: 110.4 Half-PPR11020252026 projection: 185.6 Half-PPR1862026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRushRecPass
2025 W108.9LV55 plays · 51% pass777 · 1 rec0
2025 W96.4HOU60 plays · 62% pass61-2 · 1 rec0
2025 W813.1DAL57 plays · 51% pass11110 · 2 rec0
2025 W78.5NYG74 plays · 68% pass81-1 · 1 rec0
2025 W64.0NYJ56 plays · 54% pass4000
2025 W514.9PHI68 plays · 57% pass79 / 1 TD5 · 1 rec0
2025 W411.0CIN80 plays · 53% pass1014 · 1 rec0
2025 W314.8LAC46 plays · 54% pass83 / 1 TD0 · 1 rec0
2025 W215.0IND54 plays · 56% pass76 / 1 TD9 · 1 rec0
2025 W113.8TEN70 plays · 57% pass63 / 1 TD5 · 2 rec0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152012345678910Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Rush yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • LV
    -0% · 117 rush yards
  • HOU
    -20% · 94 rush yards
  • DAL
    +7% · 126 rush yards
  • NYG
    +24% · 145 rush yards
  • NYJ
    +19% · 140 rush yards
  • PHI
    +6% · 124 rush yards
  • CIN
    +26% · 147 rush yards
  • LAC
    -10% · 105 rush yards
  • IND
    -13% · 102 rush yards
  • TEN
    -2% · 115 rush yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 51.1% mean

255075100W1W18

carry share

25507510012345678910Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

35.6%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Yards after contact / att
2.4
Yards before contact / att
2.6
Broken tackles
9

Durability

  • 2023
    1 G
  • 2024
    13 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    10 G · 1 Out
  • 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (55 overall) RB · that slot hit at 56.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=37; contributor 70.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

RYOE / att
1.08yd

4th of 51

Efficiency
3.46

8th of 51

8+ in box
36.6%

3rd of 51

Time to LOS
2.89s

38th of 51

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is J.K. Dobbins's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Dobbins scores 2,942 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is J.K. Dobbins's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 10.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for J.K. Dobbins in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.