QB · SEA · #14
Sam Darnold
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 225 lbs
- Birth date
- Jun 5, 1997 (age 29.2)
- College
- USC
Path runs QB54 → QB9 → QB14 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate.
Traded from NYJ to CAR (Apr 5, 2021).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,852
Range 3,534–4,163
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
246.7 pts
14.5 PPG · 16.5 games
3812.1 pass yds · 25.1 pass TD · 170.2 rush yds
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
Buy lowDarnold threw for 4,048 yards and 25 TDs in 2025, finishing QB14. Darnold won Super Bowl LX with Seattle in the 2025 season, but fantasy value slipped as Seattle shifted him into a game-manager role after Week 10 and leaned on defense and the run. 2026 still looks like a starter, not a stash. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Sam Darnold.
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2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
235.4
PPG
13.8
Positional finish
QB14
Key stats
- Pass yds: 4048 (QB5)
- Pass TD: 25 (QB9)
2025: 13.8 PPG actual vs 14.4 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 4%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB14 | 235.4 | 13.8 | 4048 | 25 | 95 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB9 | 308.0 | 18.1 | 4319 | 35 | 212 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB54 | 23.4 | 2.3 | 297 | 2 | 15 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB35 | 86.3 | 14.4 | 1143 | 7 | 106 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB28 | 157.3 | 13.1 | 2527 | 9 | 222 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | QB32 | 134.0 | 11.2 | 2208 | 9 | 217 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | QB27 | 189.2 | 14.6 | 3024 | 19 | 62 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | QB27 | 168.1 | 12.9 | 2865 | 17 | 135 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 8.8 | SF | 65 plays · 40% pass | 198 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 6.1 | CAR | 63 plays · 43% pass | 147 / 1 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 19.5 | LA | 59 plays · 58% pass | 270 / 2 TD | 7 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 11.3 | IND | 58 plays · 62% pass | 271 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 22.3 | ATL | 56 plays · 54% pass | 249 / 3 TD | 23 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 3.1 | MIN | 58 plays · 45% pass | 128 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 17.7 | TEN | 46 plays · 57% pass | 244 / 2 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 4.3 | LA | 79 plays · 56% pass | 279 | 11 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 4.9 | ARI | 58 plays · 21% pass | 178 / 1 TD | -2 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 27.2 | WAS | 48 plays · 50% pass | 330 / 4 TD | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- SF+7% · 242 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
- LA+4% · 235 pass yards
- IND+17% · 263 pass yards
- ATL-1% · 222 pass yards
- MIN-21% · 178 pass yards
- TEN+10% · 248 pass yards
- ARI+8% · 243 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 96.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
99.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 21.0%
- On-target throw %
- 79.8%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 202310 G
- 202417 G
- 202517 G
- 16.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R1 (3 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Time to throw
- 2.86s
- Aggressiveness
- 13.6%
- CPOE
- 4.3pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -0.6yd
28th of 42
30th of 42
4th of 42
15th of 42
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Sam Darnold's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Darnold scores 3,852 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Sam Darnold's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 14.5 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Sam Darnold in dynasty right now?
- That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.