Week 6 Dynasty Winners and Losers: Which Value Moves Are Real

Quick answer: Sixteen players moved a lot in our Dynasty Value Score after Sunday, and only four changed jobs on the depth chart. Denzel Boston and Kenyon Sadiq gained one. Marvin Harrison Jr. and Mason Taylor lost one. The big jumps at running back come from workload, and workload is not a promotion.

Washington and San Francisco play tonight, and Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami and Minnesota had a bye, so none of those players appear here.

The biggest moves

The four job changes

Bostonnow sits first on Cleveland's depth chart at receiver, and his score rose 553 points. The game itself was quiet: one catch on five targets. Jerry Jeudy caught four for 69 and sits third. The model rewards the depth chart, and the targets have to follow. Boston's two games before this one, with 89 and 46 yards, are the better evidence.

Sadiqmoved to first at tight end for the Jets after a one-catch day, and Taylor moved down after catching four passes on six targets. The depth chart and the targets disagree. I would watch the Jets' target split next week before trusting either number.

Harrison plays for Houston, where he is second behind Nico Collins. He caught three of four targets. His score fell 327 points because the model sees a second option behind a top receiver.

Running backs who rose without a new job

The model lifts a backup's score toward a starter's range when his workload moves toward a starter's. That is what happened to Washington, Vidal, Corum and McLaughlin. None of them took a starting job.

Ashton Jeanty still starts in Las Vegas and scored a touchdown. Omarion Hampton still starts for the Chargers, and Vidal is third behind him and Keaton Mitchell. Kyren Williams still starts for the Rams. McLaughlin carried in Cleveland because Judkins is hurt.

Allgeier and Miller each led their teams in carries, but they are also second on the depth chart. Allgeier filled in for Love. Miller's team still starts Alvin Kamara, who scored on a catch.

Drops that look worse than they are

Douglas scored 16.1 half-PPR points even after a lost fumble, and his score fell by more than 3,000 because last week's number was too high. He is still third on New England's depth chart behind A.J. Brown. Marks ran 15 times for 56 yards while David Montgomery, who is hurt, remains the starter on paper. The model caps a fill-in's score while the starter is out.

Bateman saw one target before leaving with a shoulder injury. He is still second behind Zay Flowers in Baltimore.

Injury drops

Warren, Love and Judkins fell because they did not play. All three are still the first name on their depth charts, and the drop reverses when they return.

What did not move

Kenneth Walker III scored 26.9 points and his value moved 10 points. James Cook scored 22.8 and moved by four. The model leans on role, age and a longer record, so one big game barely registers.

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