Strategy
Biggest Dynasty Overreactions of Week 6
Dynasty overreactions after Week 6: who not to buy, who not to sell, and which big games are already priced in. Marcus Reyes makes the calls.
By Marcus Reyes · October 19, 2026
Do not buy the backup running backs who had a decent Sunday. Do not sell the receivers whose values dropped after good games. The week's biggest box scores were already in the price.
Backup backs are not starters
Mike Washington Jr. ran nine times for 43 yards in Las Vegas, and his value rose more than 3,000 points. Ashton Jeanty still starts, and he scored a touchdown and caught four passes. A backup with nine carries is a backup with nine carries.
Kimani Vidal is third on the Chargers' depth chart and had seven carries for 21 yards, while Omarion Hampton had seven carries and four catches. Blake Corum had a touchdown catch, but Kyren Williams had more carries and yards.
Jaleel McLaughlin is the one with a reason: Quinshon Judkins is out with an ankle injury. His job ends when Judkins returns. I would not pay anything for any of these four.
Depth chart flips on tiny lines
Denzel Boston is now Cleveland's first receiver on the depth chart after one catch for 15 yards on five targets. Kenyon Sadiq is now the Jets' first tight end after one catch for 12 yards. Mason Taylor caught four. A promotion on paper is not a promotion in the offense.
I would pay for neither until the targets follow the chart. Boston's two games before Sunday are the better case for him.
The reverse overreaction
DeMario Douglas caught seven of eight targets for 86 yards and a touchdown, and his value fell by more than 3,000 points. The old number was too high. He is still New England's third receiver behind A.J. Brown, who caught three of ten for 27 yards.
Woody Marks carried 15 times for 56 yards, and his value also fell. David Montgomery is hurt, so the job is Marks's for now. Hold both. Do not sell either because a number moved.
Big games already in the price
Trevor Lawrence scored 27.3 points, and his value did not change. Kenneth Walker III ran for 128 yards and two touchdowns, and his value moved 10 points. Tre Tucker caught five of seven targets for 97 yards and two touchdowns against a projection of nine points, and his value moved 7 points.
That is the right call. One game rarely changes what a player is worth over a career. If an owner is asking for a price based on any of these three, say no.
Smaller roles had big days too. Travis Hunter caught four of four for 59 yards and a touchdown on a 1.1-point projection, and Jaylin Noel caught four of four for 107. Neither is a top-three receiver on his team.
What I'd do this week
I would ask for the Judkins and Love news before I touch any of the backups, and I would wait to see whether Boston's target share follows the depth chart. If Jeanty, Hampton and Kyren all play next week, the backups' prices drop back, and that is when I would buy.
The score moves behind these calls are in Week 6 winners and losers. NextDyne is currently in early access — join the waitlist and lock in Founding Franchise status at $2.00/player for life.
Join the founding waitlist
Founding leagues lock in $2.00 per player, forever. Price rises to $3.00 once the founding cohort is full.
Founding leagues also get permanent Founding Franchise status in your Vault history.
FAQ
- Is Mike Washington Jr. a good dynasty pickup after Week 6?
- Not at his new price. He is second on the depth chart behind Ashton Jeanty, and nine carries for 43 yards is not a starter's day.
- Should I sell a receiver whose value fell after a good game?
- No, if his role is the same. DeMario Douglas had a 16-point game and is still New England's third receiver, so the drop came from last week's inflated number.
- How do I tell a real promotion from a one-week spike?
- Look at targets and carries over three weeks, not one. A new spot on the depth chart with fewer targets, like Denzel Boston's, is a promotion on paper only.