QB · LAC · #5
Played a short 2025 (4 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from SF to DAL (Aug 25, 2023).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
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Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
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Projected points per game
Lance threw for 226 yards in 2025, finishing QB56. He scored about 42% less than his touches said he should. 2025 stopped at 4 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Half-PPR points
13.5
PPG
3.4
Positional finish
QB56
Key stats
2025: 3.4 PPG actual vs 5.9 expected from usage (4 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 42%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB56 | 13.5 | 3.4 | 226 | — | 85 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB60 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 266 | — | 41 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB62 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 194 | — | 67 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | QB39 | 64.9 | 10.8 | 603 | 5 | 168 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 8.3 | DEN | 65 plays · 68% pass | 136 | 69 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 0.8 | LV | 64 plays · 33% pass | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 1.6 | JAX | 42 plays · 62% pass | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 2.9 | WAS | 60 plays · 55% pass | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 37.8% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
43.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
Undrafted QB — this pack does not score UDFA hit rates.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.