WR · WAS · #3
Only 8 games in 2024 — availability is the headline.
Traded from BUF to HOU (Apr 3, 2024).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,483
Range 2,287–2,633
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite WR production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
127.2 pts
7.5 PPG · 16.0 games
59.6 rec · 702 rec yds · 4.1 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.98
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Diggs caught 85 passes for 1,013 yards in 2025, finishing WR18. He scored 21% more than his touches said he should. The arc is recovery: WR10, then WR66, now WR18. 2024 stopped at 8 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Stefon Diggs.
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Stefon Diggs Signs With the Commanders
Stefon Diggs is signing a one-year deal with the Washington Commanders after a long free agency. Here's what it means for his dynasty value in 2026.
Half-PPR points
167.8
PPG
9.9
Positional finish
WR18
Key stats
2025: 9.9 PPG actual vs 8.2 expected from usage (17 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 21%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR18 | 167.8 | 9.9 | 85 | 1013 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR66 | 98.4 | 12.3 | 47 | 496 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 13 | — |
| 2023 | WR10 | 220.3 | 13.0 | 107 | 1183 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR4 | 262.6 | 16.4 | 108 | 1429 | 11 | -3 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR7 | 234.0 | 13.8 | 103 | 1225 | 10 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR3 | 265.1 | 16.6 | 127 | 1535 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR21 | 180.6 | 12.0 | 63 | 1130 | 6 | 61 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR11 | 215.3 | 14.4 | 102 | 1021 | 9 | 62 | — | — | — |
| 2017 | WR19 | 166.2 | 11.9 | 64 | 849 | 8 | 13 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | WR38 | 151.3 | 11.6 | 84 | 903 | 3 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2015 | WR45 | 123.3 | 9.5 | 52 | 720 | 4 | 13 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 5.8 | MIA | 56 plays · 39% pass | 43 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 19.1 | NYJ | 61 plays · 41% pass | 101 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 18.3 | BAL | 67 plays · 66% pass | 138 · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 4.1 | BUF | 48 plays · 48% pass | 26 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.1 | NYG | 60 plays · 52% pass | 26 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 3.0 | CIN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 20 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 15.0 | NYJ | 61 plays · 56% pass | 105 · 9 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 13.1 | TB | 58 plays · 53% pass | 46 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 11.3 | ATL | 62 plays · 47% pass | 38 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 8.9 | CLE | 59 plays · 41% pass | 14 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 53.8% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
70.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R5 (146 overall) WR · that slot hit at 9.1% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 21.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
29th of 85
57th of 85
20th of 85
51st of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.