WR · NE · #13
Finish path matters here: WR78 → WR56 is a breakout, not a development pitch; the downside gets steeper at 33.
Picked by the Patriots in 2017 via a trade with the Saints.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Range 185–310
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
49.4 pts
2.9 PPG · 14.3 games
24.1 rec · 287.8 rec yds · 1.4 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Hollins caught 46 passes for 550 yards in 2025, finishing WR56. He scored about 6% less than his touches said he should. Coming off a real climb — WR78 to WR56 tells the story better than age. At 33, age is the lead risk for a WR. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Half-PPR points
90.4
PPG
6.5
Positional finish
WR56
Key stats
2025: 6.5 PPG actual vs 6.9 expected from usage (14 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 6%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR56 | 90.4 | 6.5 | 46 | 550 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR78 | 85.3 | 5.0 | 31 | 378 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR118 | 34.1 | 2.8 | 18 | 251 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR44 | 125.7 | 7.4 | 57 | 690 | 4 | 40 | — | 4 | — |
| 2021 | WR109 | 53.3 | 3.6 | 14 | 223 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR130 | 29.6 | 2.7 | 16 | 176 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR144 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 10 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | WR108 | 38.6 | 3.2 | 16 | 226 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W16 | 10.4 | BAL | 67 plays · 66% pass | 69 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 6.1 | BUF | 48 plays · 48% pass | 41 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 3.8 | NYG | 60 plays · 52% pass | 23 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 4.0 | CIN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 30 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 8.4 | NYJ | 61 plays · 56% pass | 64 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 13.6 | TB | 58 plays · 53% pass | 106 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 1.9 | ATL | 62 plays · 47% pass | 9 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 12.4 | CLE | 59 plays · 41% pass | 89 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 6.3 | TEN | 60 plays · 40% pass | 49 · 2 rec | 4 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 3.8 | NO | 57 plays · 46% pass | 28 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 67.7% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
61.5%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R4 (118 overall) WR · that slot hit at 4.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=63; contributor 14.3%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
53rd of 85
42nd of 85
73rd of 85
54th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.