WR · FA · #10
Only 4 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Traded from KC to MIA (Mar 23, 2022).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,366
Range 2,187–2,509
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Elite WR production now; the age curve is already in the score.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
231.3 pts
13.6 PPG · 16.3 games
101 rec · 1296.5 rec yds · 8.3 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Hill caught 21 passes for 265 yards in 2025, finishing WR107. He scored 8% more than his touches said he should. WR21 slipped to WR107 last year; that's the warning. Only 4 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Tyreek Hill.
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Half-PPR points
43.0
PPG
10.8
Positional finish
WR107
Key stats
2025: 10.8 PPG actual vs 10.0 expected from usage (4 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 8%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR107 | 43.0 | 10.8 | 21 | 265 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR21 | 177.7 | 10.5 | 81 | 959 | 6 | 53 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR2 | 316.9 | 19.8 | 119 | 1799 | 13 | 15 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR3 | 281.7 | 16.6 | 119 | 1710 | 7 | 32 | 1 | — | — |
| 2021 | WR6 | 241.0 | 14.2 | 111 | 1239 | 9 | 96 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR2 | 285.4 | 19.0 | 87 | 1276 | 15 | 123 | 2 | — | — |
| 2019 | WR30 | 159.3 | 13.3 | 58 | 860 | 7 | 23 | — | — | — |
| 2018 | WR1 | 284.5 | 17.8 | 87 | 1479 | 12 | 151 | 1 | — | — |
| 2017 | WR8 | 201.7 | 13.4 | 75 | 1183 | 7 | 59 | — | — | — |
| 2016 | WR22 | 168.5 | 10.5 | 61 | 593 | 6 | 267 | 3 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W4 | 9.7 | NYJ | 56 plays · 45% pass | 67 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 13.4 | BUF | 59 plays · 58% pass | 49 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 13.9 | NE | 47 plays · 68% pass | 109 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 6.0 | IND | 43 plays · 72% pass | 40 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 68.5% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
75.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R5 (165 overall) WR · that slot hit at 9.1% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 21.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
31st of 97
68th of 97
87th of 97
5th of 97
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.