Michael Penix Jr. headshot

QB · ATL · #9

Michael Penix Jr.O

Height
HT 6'3"
Weight
WT 213 lbs
Birth date
May 8, 2000 (age 26.3)
College
Washington; Indiana

Only 9 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

0

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

24.5 pts

1.4 PPG · 6.0 games

360.4 pass yds · 2.1 pass TD · 20.7 rush yds

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.98

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

Quick answer

Buy

Penix threw for 1,982 yards and 9 TDs in 2025, finishing QB33. Finish path matters here: QB47 → QB33 is a breakout, not a development pitch. 2025 stopped at 9 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Michael Penix Jr..

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

120.3

PPG

13.4

Positional finish

QB33

Key stats

  • Pass yds: 1982 (QB29)
  • Pass TD: 9 (QB33)

2025: 13.4 PPG actual vs 14.0 expected from usage (9 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 4%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGPass ydPass TDRush ydRush TDRecRec ydRec TD
2025QB33120.313.419829701
2024QB4744.18.87753111

Career arc

0501001502024: 44.1 Half-PPR4420242025: 120.3 Half-PPR12020252026 projection: 24.5 Half-PPR242026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptPassRushRec
2025 W117.9CAR58 plays · 52% pass17590
2025 W1011.0IND57 plays · 49% pass177 / 1 TD-10
2025 W922.7NE53 plays · 70% pass221 / 3 TD190
2025 W712.2SF58 plays · 66% pass241 / 1 TD60
2025 W614.6BUF64 plays · 50% pass250 / 1 TD60
2025 W418.7WAS63 plays · 41% pass313 / 2 TD20
2025 W33.8CAR66 plays · 65% pass17290
2025 W25.3MIN60 plays · 35% pass135-10
2025 W124.0TB70 plays · 60% pass298 / 1 TD21 / 1 TD0

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152025301234567891011Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • CAR
    -4% · 215 pass yards
  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • NE
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards
  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • WAS
    +14% · 257 pass yards
  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • TB
    +13% · 255 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 93.2% mean

255075100W1W18

pass-attempt share

2550751001234567891011Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

92.8%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Pressure rate
16.6%
On-target throw %
72.9%
Avg time in pocket
2.4s

Durability

  • 2023
  • 2024
    5 G
  • 2025
    9 G
  • 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R1 (8 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Time to throw
2.79s

16th of 42

Aggressiveness
13.8%

27th of 42

CPOE
-3.2pp

36th of 42

Air yds to sticks
-0.0yd

8th of 42

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Michael Penix Jr.'s dynasty value on NextDyne?
Penix scores 0 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Michael Penix Jr.'s 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 1.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Michael Penix Jr. in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.