QB · ATL · #9
Michael Penix Jr.
- Height
- HT 6'3"
- Weight
- WT 220 lbs
- Birth date
- May 8, 2000 (age 26.5)
- College
- Washington; Indiana
Only 9 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
4,011
Range 0–4,011
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection Listed as the lead with the touches — score stepped up for that role, not to the previous starter's price.
Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
84.7 pts
16.9 PPG
1157 pass yds · 9 pass TD · 4 rush yds
Week 7 projection
8.4 pts
vs SF · floor–ceiling 3.3–12.7
Dynasty Value Score over time
History starts Preseason 2026.
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Quick answer
BuyPenix threw for 1,157 yards and 9 TDs in 2026, ranking QB24 through 5 games. Through 5 games he sits QB24, up from QB33 — a climb, not a final rank. 2025 stopped at 9 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
NextDyne coverage
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Michael Penix Jr..
- RankingsNextDyne
Redzone and Stalled: Week 6 Hot and Cold Players, and What the Model Expects Next
Dynasty outlook for the players who beat or missed their Week 6 projection, with the model’s Week 7 line for each. Derek Sallis shows the work.
- RankingsNextDyne
Monday Morning QB: Week 2's Best Arms
Josh Allen delivered the shootout we called, Bryce Young passed his second-data-point test, and Cooper Rush came back to earth.
- RankingsNextDyne
Week 2 Dynasty Winners & Losers: The Real Moves
A real depth-chart flip in Arizona, three tight ends validating their role in the same week, and one injury that actually moved the board.
- NewsNextDyne
Week 2 Injury Roundup: What Actually Changed
What actually changed since Monday's injury report — including Atlanta's QB mess, A.J. Brown's real timeline, and a return that isn't injury-related at all.
- StrategyNextDyne
Is Kyle Pitts Ever Going to Live Up to the Draft Capital?
Kyle Pitts was a trade candidate heading into 2025, then finished TE2 and signed a record extension. Here's an honest look at whether the breakout sticks.
- NewsNextDyne
Falcons Extend G Matthew Bergeron — Trench Money, Dynasty Stability
The Falcons signed LG Matthew Bergeron to a 4-year, $96M extension with $60M guaranteed. What Atlanta’s OL investment means for dynasty roster stability.
2026 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
84.7
PPG
16.9
Rank so far
QB24
Key stats
- Pass yds: 1157 (QB20)
- Pass TD: 9 (QB13)
2026 week shape
2/5 Boom 40%
0/5 Bust 0%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | QB24so far | 84.7 | 16.9 | 1157 | 9 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | QB33 | 120.3 | 13.4 | 1982 | 9 | 70 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB47 | 44.1 | 8.8 | 775 | 3 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2026)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W7 | 20.4Boom | SF | 63 plays · 54% pass | 213 / 3 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2026 W6 | 23.1Boom | CHI | 45 plays · 73% pass | 225 / 3 TD | 1 | 0 |
| 2026 W5 | 14.4 | BAL | 61 plays · 57% pass | 240 / 1 TD | 8 | 0 |
| 2026 W4 | 12.7 | NO | 55 plays · 36% pass | 223 / 1 TD | -2 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 14.0 | GB | 66 plays · 38% pass | 256 / 1 TD | -2 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 6 Engine grade
Projected 7.2 · scored 23.1 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -15.9.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
- SF-5% · 224 pass yards
- CHI+3% · 241 pass yards
- BAL-0% · 235 pass yards
- NO+6% · 250 pass yards
- GB-5% · 223 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 93.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Pressure rate
- 16.6%
- On-target throw %
- 72.9%
- Avg time in pocket
- 2.4s
Durability
- 20245 G
- 20259 G
- 20265 G · 2 Out
- 6.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short slate.
R1 (8 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2026 season to date · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
- Time to throw
- 2.40s
- Aggressiveness
- 2.2%
- CPOE
- 3.2pp
- Air yds to sticks
- -2.2yd
1st of 38
38th of 38
13th of 38
30th of 38
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Michael Penix Jr.'s dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Penix scores 4,011 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Michael Penix Jr.'s 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 1.4 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. A boom week is 20+ half-PPR; a bust is under 5. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Michael Penix Jr. in dynasty right now?
- The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.