QB · ATL · #9
Only 9 games in 2025 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
24.5 pts
1.4 PPG · 6.0 games
360.4 pass yds · 2.1 pass TD · 20.7 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Penix threw for 1,982 yards and 9 TDs in 2025, finishing QB33. Finish path matters here: QB47 → QB33 is a breakout, not a development pitch. 2025 stopped at 9 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Michael Penix Jr..
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Half-PPR points
120.3
PPG
13.4
Positional finish
QB33
Key stats
2025: 13.4 PPG actual vs 14.0 expected from usage (9 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 4%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB33 | 120.3 | 13.4 | 1982 | 9 | 70 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB47 | 44.1 | 8.8 | 775 | 3 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W11 | 7.9 | CAR | 58 plays · 52% pass | 175 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 11.0 | IND | 57 plays · 49% pass | 177 / 1 TD | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 22.7 | NE | 53 plays · 70% pass | 221 / 3 TD | 19 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 12.2 | SF | 58 plays · 66% pass | 241 / 1 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 14.6 | BUF | 64 plays · 50% pass | 250 / 1 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 18.7 | WAS | 63 plays · 41% pass | 313 / 2 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 3.8 | CAR | 66 plays · 65% pass | 172 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W2 | 5.3 | MIN | 60 plays · 35% pass | 135 | -1 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 24.0 | TB | 70 plays · 60% pass | 298 / 1 TD | 21 / 1 TD | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 93.2% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
92.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (8 overall) QB · that slot hit at 39.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=43; contributor 62.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
16th of 42
27th of 42
36th of 42
8th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.