WR · BUF · #10
Finishes have swung hard (WR38 → WR38 → WR61) — volatility is the story.
Picked by the Bills in 2022 via a trade with the Bears.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
3,571
Range 3,257–3,823
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
132.7 pts
7.8 PPG · 16.0 games
67.5 rec · 729.6 rec yds · 4.2 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Shakir caught 72 passes for 719 yards in 2025, finishing WR38. He scored 19% more than his touches said he should. Finishes have swung hard (WR38 → WR38 → WR61) — volatility is the story. Looking at 2026, he's a situational piece unless the role grows. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Khalil Shakir.
Half-PPR points
130.4
PPG
8.2
Positional finish
WR38
Key stats
2025: 8.2 PPG actual vs 6.9 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 19%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR38 | 130.4 | 8.2 | 72 | 719 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR38 | 144.5 | 9.6 | 76 | 821 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR61 | 93.6 | 5.9 | 39 | 611 | 2 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR129 | 29.1 | 2.9 | 10 | 161 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 6.5 | PHI | 68 plays · 52% pass | 35 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.4 | CLE | 48 plays · 40% pass | 34 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 9.0 | NE | 65 plays · 43% pass | 65 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 8.6 | CIN | 57 plays · 49% pass | 16 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 1.0 | PIT | 74 plays · 31% pass | 5 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 13.0 | HOU | 58 plays · 59% pass | 110 · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.2 | TB | 53 plays · 57% pass | -3 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 9.3 | MIA | 62 plays · 65% pass | 58 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 7.8 | KC | 61 plays · 43% pass | 43 · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 17.8 | CAR | 58 plays · 40% pass | 88 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 59.8% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
76.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R5 (148 overall) WR · that slot hit at 9.1% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 21.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
5th of 85
16th of 85
5th of 85
76th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.