WR · GB · #11
2025 stopped at 5 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
2,915
Range 2,616–3,036
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
143.9 pts
8.5 PPG · 16.2 games
46.6 rec · 726.3 rec yds · 5.1 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.02
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Reed caught 19 passes for 207 yards in 2025, finishing WR114. He scored 30% more than his touches said he should. WR26 slipped to WR114 last year; that's the warning. Only 5 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jayden Reed.
Half-PPR points
39.0
PPG
7.8
Positional finish
WR114
Key stats
2025: 7.8 PPG actual vs 6.0 expected from usage (5 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 30%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR114 | 39.0 | 7.8 | 19 | 207 | 1 | 28 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR26 | 169.5 | 10.0 | 55 | 857 | 6 | 163 | 1 | — | — |
| 2023 | WR23 | 185.2 | 11.6 | 64 | 793 | 8 | 119 | 2 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 6.1 | BAL | 42 plays · 60% pass | 41 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 5.6 | CHI | 68 plays · 35% pass | 35 · 3 rec | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 8.0 | DEN | 60 plays · 67% pass | 55 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 7.3 | CHI | 51 plays · 49% pass | 31 · 4 rec | 22 | 0 |
| 2025 W1 | 12.0 | DET | 47 plays · 47% pass | 45 / 1 TD · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 41.1% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
58.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (50 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
5th of 97
10th of 97
26th of 97
73rd of 97
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.