WR · MIA · #1
Jalen Tolbert
- Height
- HT 6'1"
- Weight
- WT 195 lbs
- Birth date
- Feb 27, 1999 (age 27.5)
- College
- South Alabama
Production trend is soft: WR45 → WR117 over the last two seasons.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
756
Range 692–708
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
106.0 pts
6.2 PPG · 16.0 games
42 rec · 523 rec yds · 5.2 rec TD
Player quality
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×1.01
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Quick answer
WatchTolbert caught 18 passes for 203 yards in 2025, finishing WR117. He scored about 34% less than his touches said he should. Recent form cooled from WR45 to WR117 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. The 2026 projection is modest — the role has to hold. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
2025 fantasy highlights
Half-PPR points
37.3
PPG
3.1
Positional finish
WR117
Key stats
- Rec: 18 (WR108)
- Rec yds: 203 (WR116)
- Rec TD: 1 (WR95)
2025: 3.1 PPG actual vs 4.7 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 34%.
Career (Half-PPR)
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR117 | 37.3 | 3.1 | 18 | 203 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR45 | 127.5 | 7.5 | 49 | 610 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR100 | 47.8 | 3.4 | 22 | 268 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR201 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 2 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
Recent games (2025)
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 0.0 | NYG | 54 plays · 44% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 5.1 | WAS | 81 plays · 46% pass | 31 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 0.0 | KC | 65 plays · 60% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 0.0 | LV | 64 plays · 52% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 11.7 | DEN | 66 plays · 53% pass | 47 / 1 TD · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W7 | 2.1 | WAS | 61 plays · 49% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W6 | 1.3 | CAR | 53 plays · 64% pass | 8 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W5 | 0.0 | NYJ | 58 plays · 50% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W4 | 8.1 | GB | 66 plays · 61% pass | 61 · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W3 | 5.9 | CHI | 65 plays · 69% pass | 24 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
- NYG+2% · 230 pass yards
- WAS+14% · 257 pass yards
- KC-9% · 205 pass yards
- LV-5% · 214 pass yards
- DEN-6% · 212 pass yards
- CAR-4% · 215 pass yards
- NYJ+1% · 226 pass yards
- GB-8% · 207 pass yards
- CHI+6% · 239 pass yards
Usage and availability
Snap share
2025 offense · 51.3% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
51.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
- Broken tackles
- 2
- Avg depth of target
- 12.0
- Drop %
- 2.9%
Durability
- 202314 G
- 202417 G
- 202512 G
- 16.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.
R3 (88 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
Next Gen Stats
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
- Separation
- 2.72yd
- Cushion
- 6.54yd
- YAC above expected
- 0.10yd
- Air yards share
- 20.3%
64th of 97
24th of 97
70th of 97
56th of 97
Historical comps
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.
FAQ
- What is Jalen Tolbert's dynasty value on NextDyne?
- Tolbert scores 756 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
- What is Jalen Tolbert's 2026 Engine Projection?
- We project 6.2 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
- How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
- Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
- Should I trade for Jalen Tolbert in dynasty right now?
- Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.