WR · LV · #9
He ranks WR121 through 4 games, down from WR59. Early, not a finished step down.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
710
Range 680–699
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 total FP
9.1 pts
2.3 PPG
6 rec · 61 rec yds
Week 7 projection
4.0 pts
vs LAR · floor–ceiling 1.6–6.4
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Nailor caught 6 passes for 61 yards in 2026, ranking WR121 through 4 games. Through 4 games the rank is WR121, off a WR59 season. Wait for more games before calling it a decline. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Jalen Nailor.
Half-PPR points
9.1
PPG
2.3
Rank so far
WR121
Key stats
2026 week shape
0/4 Boom 0%
4/4 Bust 100%
Boom is 20+ half-PPR. Bust is under 5.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR121so far | 9.1 | 2.3 | 6 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR59 | 88.2 | 5.2 | 29 | 444 | 4 | 13 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR75 | 89.0 | 5.9 | 28 | 414 | 6 | -4 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR185 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR131 | 28.4 | 3.6 | 9 | 179 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W6 | 1.4Bust | BUF | 61 plays · 67% pass | 9 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W3 | 2.1Bust | NO | 60 plays · 55% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W2 | 1.4Bust | LAC | 58 plays · 50% pass | 9 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 W1 | 4.2Bust | MIA | 67 plays · 45% pass | 27 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the total.
Week 6 Engine grade
Projected 6.0 · scored 1.4 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +4.6.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 65.4% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
71.3%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (191 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample Full table
66th of 85
71st of 85
10th of 85
57th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.