WR · NE · #1
Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Traded from PHI to NE (Jun 2, 2026).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
5,557
Range 5,009–5,974
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Peak window — still valuable, but age is already shaping the dynasty price.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
189.9 pts
11.2 PPG · 15.5 games
78.3 rec · 1068.9 rec yds · 7.2 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Brown caught 3 passes for 26 yards in 2026, finishing WR68. WR14 slipped to WR68 last year; that's the warning. 2026 stopped at 1 games; staying on the field is the swing factor. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention A.J. Brown.
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Is DK Metcalf Still a Startable Dynasty WR?
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Is Drake Maye the Best Buy-Low QB in Dynasty?
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Is Marvin Harrison Jr. Still a Dynasty Buy, or Is the Bust Talk Real?
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Does the Move to New England Help or Hurt A.J. Brown's Value?
A.J. Brown left a strained situation in Philadelphia to reunite with his first NFL head coach in New England. Here's what the move means for his dynasty value.
Jalen Hurts Enters a Reboot Year — Is His Dynasty Price Still Fair?
Jalen Hurts lost his top receiver and his fourth offensive coordinator in six years. Here's an honest look at his dynasty value heading into 2026.
Keep or Trade Justin Jefferson in Dynasty in 2026?
Justin Jefferson's WR25 finish in 2025 wasn't about him — it was Minnesota's quarterback play. Here's why his dynasty value bounces back in 2026.
Half-PPR points
4.1
PPG
4.1
Positional finish
WR68
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR68 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR14 | 181.3 | 12.1 | 78 | 1003 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR18 | 183.4 | 14.1 | 67 | 1079 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR7 | 236.6 | 13.9 | 106 | 1456 | 7 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR5 | 255.6 | 15.0 | 88 | 1496 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | WR32 | 149.4 | 11.5 | 63 | 869 | 5 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 2020 | WR12 | 206.5 | 14.8 | 70 | 1075 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | WR15 | 191.1 | 11.9 | 52 | 1051 | 8 | 60 | 1 | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 4.1 | SEA | 64 plays · 52% pass | 26 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 12.8 · scored 4.1 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss +8.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 90.7% mean
Pass-play participation
95.8%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (51 overall) WR · that slot hit at 29.9% in 2010–2023 classes (n=67; contributor 58.2%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
78th of 85
62nd of 85
15th of 85
15th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.