WR · MIN · #18
Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline.
Picked by the Vikings in 2020 via a trade with the Bills.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,373
Range 5,720–6,846
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
206.4 pts
12.1 PPG · 15.5 games
82 rec · 1167.1 rec yds · 7.9 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.02
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Jefferson caught 8 passes for 92 yards in 2026, finishing WR3. Path runs WR2 → WR25 → WR3 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Played a short 2026 (1 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Justin Jefferson.
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Half-PPR points
27.2
PPG
27.2
Positional finish
WR3
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR3 | 27.2 | 27.2 | 8 | 92 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR25 | 159.5 | 9.4 | 84 | 1048 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR2 | 266.0 | 15.6 | 103 | 1533 | 10 | 3 | — | 22 | — |
| 2023 | WR28 | 168.2 | 16.8 | 68 | 1074 | 5 | -12 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | WR1 | 304.7 | 17.9 | 128 | 1809 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 34 | — |
| 2021 | WR4 | 276.4 | 16.3 | 108 | 1616 | 10 | 14 | — | 35 | — |
| 2020 | WR6 | 230.2 | 14.4 | 88 | 1400 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 27.2 | GB | 58 plays · 41% pass | 92 / 2 TD · 8 rec | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 13.5 · scored 27.2 half-PPR · outside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -13.7.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 94.2% mean
Pass-play participation
95.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R1 (22 overall) WR · that slot hit at 60.0% in 2010–2023 classes (n=55; contributor 72.7%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
19th of 85
56th of 85
26th of 85
6th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.