WR · HOU · #19
Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
538
Range 488–548
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
66.9 pts
3.9 PPG · 16.5 games
28.8 rec · 352.5 rec yds · 2.5 rec TD
History starts Preseason 2026.
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Hutchinson caught 3 passes for 32 yards in 2026, finishing WR61. Expect range, not a smooth curve — recent finishes span WR61 to WR140. Only 1 games in 2026 — availability is the headline. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Xavier Hutchinson.
Half-PPR points
4.7
PPG
4.7
Positional finish
WR61
Key stats
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | WR61 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | WR63 | 80.5 | 5.0 | 35 | 428 | 3 | 22 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR140 | 17.7 | 1.3 | 12 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR153 | 17.9 | 1.5 | 8 | 90 | — | 49 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W1 | 4.7 | BUF | 70 plays · 54% pass | 32 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
Week 1 Engine grade
Projected 4.4 · scored 4.7 half-PPR · inside the floor–ceiling band. Miss -0.3.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2026, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 57.5% mean
Pass-play participation
65.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (205 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
25th of 85
75th of 85
41st of 85
69th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.