Zach Ertz headshot

TE · FA · #86

Zach Ertz

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 250 lbs
Birth date
Nov 10, 1990 (age 35.8)
College
Stanford

Production trend is soft: TE8 → TE20 over the last two seasons; the downside gets steeper at 35.8.

Traded from PHI to ARI (Oct 15, 2021).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

1,459

Range 1,3881,528

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Elite TE production now; the age curve is already in the score.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

99.0 pts

5.8 PPG · 15.0 games

50.9 rec · 507.9 rec yds · 3.6 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.95

    2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.98

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Watch

Ertz caught 50 passes for 504 yards in 2025, finishing TE20. Recent form cooled from TE8 to TE20 — watch whether that's noise or a real step down. At 36, age is the lead risk for a TE. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

101.4

PPG

7.8

Positional finish

TE20

Key stats

  • Rec: 50 (TE18)
  • Rec yds: 504 (TE21)
  • Rec TD: 4 (TE19)

2025: 7.8 PPG actual vs 7.7 expected from usage (13 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 1%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025TE20101.47.8505044
2024TE8144.48.5666547
2023TE4638.25.5271871
2022TE1992.19.2474064
2021TE5143.78.57476354
2020TE3359.55.4363351
2019TE5171.611.4889166
2018TE2222.313.911611638
2017TE3165.411.8748248
2016TE6144.610.3788164
2015TE10132.88.9758532
2014TE14117.27.3587023
2013TE2288.95.9364694

Career arc

01002003002013: 88.9 Half-PPR20132014: 117.2 Half-PPR2015: 132.8 Half-PPR20152016: 144.6 Half-PPR2017: 165.4 Half-PPR20172018: 222.3 Half-PPR2019: 171.6 Half-PPR20192020: 59.5 Half-PPR2021: 143.7 Half-PPR20212022: 92.1 Half-PPR2023: 38.2 Half-PPR20232024: 144.4 Half-PPR2025: 101.4 Half-PPR20252026 projection: 99.0 Half-PPR2026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W141.6MIN47 plays · 51% pass11 · 1 rec00
2025 W1315.6DEN83 plays · 60% pass106 · 10 rec00
2025 W116.2MIA63 plays · 48% pass42 · 4 rec00
2025 W107.4DET49 plays · 45% pass54 · 4 rec00
2025 W96.6SEA58 plays · 38% pass46 · 4 rec00
2025 W83.6KC50 plays · 60% pass16 · 4 rec00
2025 W711.2DAL60 plays · 53% pass37 / 1 TD · 3 rec00
2025 W613.3CHI57 plays · 46% pass43 / 1 TD · 6 rec00
2025 W50.0LAC54 plays · 48% pass000
2025 W45.1ATL49 plays · 55% pass21 · 2 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
51015204567891011121314Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • MIN
    -21% · 178 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • MIA
    +3% · 231 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • CHI
    +6% · 239 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • ATL
    -1% · 222 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 66.5% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

2550751004567891011121314Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

81.1%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
1
Avg depth of target
9.0
Drop %
6.9%

Durability

  • 2023
    7 G
  • 2024
    17 G
  • 2025
    13 G
  • 15.0 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R2 (35 overall) TE · that slot hit at 38.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=26; contributor 53.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
2.73yd

34th of 35

Cushion
6.03yd

7th of 35

YAC above expected
-0.76yd

33rd of 35

Air yards share
16.6%

5th of 35

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Zach Ertz's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Ertz scores 1,459 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Zach Ertz's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 5.8 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Zach Ertz in dynasty right now?
Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.