WR · HOU · #19
Finish path matters here: WR139 → WR63 is a breakout, not a development pitch.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
300
Range 439–509
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
66.9 pts
3.9 PPG · 16.5 games
28.8 rec · 352.5 rec yds · 2.5 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.99
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Hutchinson caught 35 passes for 428 yards in 2025, finishing WR63. Finish path matters here: WR139 → WR63 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Xavier Hutchinson.
Half-PPR points
80.5
PPG
5.0
Positional finish
WR63
Key stats
2025: 5.0 PPG actual vs 5.1 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 2%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WR63 | 80.5 | 5.0 | 35 | 428 | 3 | 22 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | WR139 | 17.7 | 1.3 | 12 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR152 | 17.9 | 1.5 | 8 | 90 | — | 49 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 10.9 | IND | 64 plays · 50% pass | 84 · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 3.9 | LAC | 62 plays · 45% pass | 21 · 2 rec | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 0.9 | LV | 61 plays · 57% pass | 4 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 2.1 | ARI | 62 plays · 47% pass | 16 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 0.0 | KC | 62 plays · 50% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 4.9 | IND | 69 plays · 51% pass | 39 · 2 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.9 | BUF | 56 plays · 54% pass | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 5.7 | TEN | 64 plays · 64% pass | 42 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 4.5 | DEN | 68 plays · 59% pass | 30 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 15.4 | SF | 75 plays · 52% pass | 69 / 1 TD · 5 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 57.5% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
65.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R6 (205 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
25th of 85
75th of 85
41st of 85
69th of 85
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.