Xavier Hutchinson headshot

WR · HOU · #19

Xavier Hutchinson

Height
HT 6'3"
Weight
WT 210 lbs
Birth date
Jun 1, 2000 (age 26.2)
College
Iowa State

Finish path matters here: WR139 → WR63 is a breakout, not a development pitch.

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

300

Range 439509

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven WR in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

66.9 pts

3.9 PPG · 16.5 games

28.8 rec · 352.5 rec yds · 2.5 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×1.01

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy

Hutchinson caught 35 passes for 428 yards in 2025, finishing WR63. Finish path matters here: WR139 → WR63 is a breakout, not a development pitch. Don't pay for a bounce from the 2026 projection alone. The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Xavier Hutchinson.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

80.5

PPG

5.0

Positional finish

WR63

Key stats

  • Rec: 35 (WR66)
  • Rec yds: 428 (WR67)
  • Rec TD: 3 (WR53)

2025: 5.0 PPG actual vs 5.1 expected from usage (16 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025WR6380.55.035428322
2024WR13917.71.312117
2023WR15217.91.589049

Career arc

0204060801002023: 17.9 Half-PPR1820232024: 17.7 Half-PPR1820242025: 80.5 Half-PPR8120252026 projection: 66.9 Half-PPR672026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W1810.9IND64 plays · 50% pass84 · 5 rec00
2025 W173.9LAC62 plays · 45% pass21 · 2 rec80
2025 W160.9LV61 plays · 57% pass4 · 1 rec00
2025 W152.1ARI62 plays · 47% pass16 · 1 rec00
2025 W140.0KC62 plays · 50% pass000
2025 W134.9IND69 plays · 51% pass39 · 2 rec00
2025 W120.9BUF56 plays · 54% pass090
2025 W115.7TEN64 plays · 64% pass42 · 3 rec00
2025 W94.5DEN68 plays · 59% pass30 · 3 rec00
2025 W815.4SF75 plays · 52% pass69 / 1 TD · 5 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152089101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • IND
    +17% · 263 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • LV
    -5% · 214 pass yards
  • ARI
    +8% · 243 pass yards
  • KC
    -9% · 205 pass yards
  • BUF
    -24% · 170 pass yards
  • TEN
    +10% · 248 pass yards
  • DEN
    -6% · 212 pass yards
  • SF
    +7% · 242 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 57.5% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510089101112131415161718Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

65.0%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
3
Avg depth of target
10.2
Drop %
3.5%

Durability

  • 2023
    12 G
  • 2024
    14 G
  • 2025
    16 G
  • 16.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R6 (205 overall) WR · that slot hit at 1.3% in 2010–2023 classes (n=75; contributor 8.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
3.05yd

25th of 85

Cushion
5.52yd

75th of 85

YAC above expected
0.55yd

41st of 85

Air yards share
11.4%

69th of 85

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is Xavier Hutchinson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Hutchinson scores 300 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is Xavier Hutchinson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 3.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for Xavier Hutchinson in dynasty right now?
The trend line says buy: this is a climb, not a name you're paying nostalgia tax for. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.