QB · NO · #6
Played a short 2025 (11 games) — health is the nearer question than talent.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
6,727
Range 5,592–7,824
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Young QB with runway — the score still pays for the years ahead.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
312.6 pts
18.4 PPG · 16.5 games
4411.1 pass yds · 25.1 pass TD · 383.9 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.
Process ×0.98
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Combine ×1.01
Athletic composite 6.3/10 (RAS-like; fades after year 2).
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Shough threw for 2,384 yards and 10 TDs in 2025, finishing QB26. He scored 7% more than his touches said he should. Only 11 games in 2025 — availability is the headline. 2026 still treats him as a QB you start every week. This reads as a hold — nothing in the recent signal pushes it toward a buy or a sell.
Half-PPR points
158.0
PPG
14.4
Positional finish
QB26
Key stats
2025: 14.4 PPG actual vs 13.5 expected from usage (11 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 7%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB26 | 158.0 | 14.4 | 2384 | 10 | 186 | 3 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W18 | 21.8 | ATL | 61 plays · 57% pass | 259 / 1 TD | 34 / 1 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W17 | 21.9 | TEN | 50 plays · 54% pass | 333 / 2 TD | 6 | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 17.1 | NYJ | 75 plays · 67% pass | 308 / 1 TD | 8 | 0 |
| 2025 W15 | 18.1 | CAR | 58 plays · 57% pass | 272 / 1 TD | 32 | 0 |
| 2025 W14 | 21.3 | TB | 52 plays · 39% pass | 144 | 55 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W13 | 17.4 | MIA | 65 plays · 59% pass | 239 / 2 TD | 18 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 7.9 | ATL | 73 plays · 62% pass | 243 | 22 | 0 |
| 2025 W10 | 19.0 | CAR | 65 plays · 43% pass | 282 / 2 TD | -3 | 0 |
| 2025 W9 | 9.2 | LA | 39 plays · 64% pass | 176 / 1 TD | 2 | 0 |
| 2025 W8 | 4.3 | TB | 66 plays · 77% pass | 128 | 12 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 83.5% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
83.7%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R2 (40 overall) QB · that slot hit at 30.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=13; contributor 30.8%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
6th of 42
38th of 42
19th of 42
17th of 42
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.