QB · MIA · #2
2025 stopped at 4 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Traded from TEN to GB (Aug 26, 2024).
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
0
Range 0–22
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Proven QB in his prime — production and runway both hold.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
173.0 pts
10.2 PPG · 15.0 games
1847.5 pass yds · 11.5 pass TD · 395.3 rush yds
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.95
3 of last 3 seasons under 15 games.
Process ×1.03
Process residual (not a second production percentile).
Org environment ×0.99
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Willis threw for 422 yards and 3 TDs in 2025, finishing QB43. He scored 51% more than his touches said he should. QB year-to-year rank has been jumpy; don't buy one season as destiny. Played a short 2025 (4 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. This is a hold, not a sell or a buy — the swings mean the price should already reflect the risk.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Malik Willis.
AFC East Dynasty Fantasy Outlook 2026
A team-by-team dynasty breakdown of the AFC East for 2026 — Josh Allen, De'Von Achane, Drake Maye, and a Miami passing game that changed completely.
5 Breakout Dynasty TEs to Target in 2026
Five 2026 dynasty TE sleepers whose roles or prices have not caught up: a Seahawks TE1 still 19th, a Jaguars 12-game spike, and a Chargers pass-catcher our board currently scores at zero.
Is De'Von Achane Still a Must-Start With a Brand-New QB?
Miami released Tua, released Tyreek Hill, and traded Waddle. They still paid Achane a record extension. Here's why that matters more than the QB change.
Half-PPR points
51.2
PPG
12.8
Positional finish
QB43
Key stats
2025: 12.8 PPG actual vs 8.5 expected from usage (4 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 51%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Pass yd | Pass TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | QB43 | 51.2 | 12.8 | 422 | 3 | 123 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2024 | QB44 | 51.8 | 8.6 | 550 | 3 | 138 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | QB70 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 74 | — | 21 | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | QB53 | 19.3 | 2.8 | 276 | — | 123 | 1 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Pass | Rush | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 W17 | 31.5 | BAL | 42 plays · 60% pass | 288 / 1 TD | 60 / 2 TD | 0 |
| 2025 W16 | 13.2 | CHI | 68 plays · 35% pass | 121 / 1 TD | 44 | 0 |
| 2025 W12 | 0.6 | MIN | 64 plays · 34% pass | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 2025 W11 | 5.8 | NYG | 49 plays · 53% pass | 6 / 1 TD | 16 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2025 offense · 42.3% mean
pass-attempt share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
35.0%
2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2025)
Durability
R3 (86 overall) QB · that slot hit at 10.5% in 2010–2023 classes (n=19; contributor 10.5%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
No Next Gen Stats for this player yet.
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.