WR · HOU · #1
2023 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.
Dynasty Value Score (DVS)
488
Range 379–462
Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection
Depth/upside bet — WR role isn't locked starter volume yet.
DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.
2026 Engine Projections
73.8 pts
4.3 PPG · 7.0 games
25.2 rec · 380.5 rec yds · 3.4 rec TD
Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.
Durability ×0.98
2 of last 3 seasons under 15 games — slight availability risk, not a short 2026 slate.
Org environment ×1.01
Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.
Dell caught 51 passes for 667 yards in 2024, finishing WR53. He scored about 14% less than his touches said he should. Production trend is soft: WR38 → WR53 over the last two seasons. Played a short 2023 (10 games) — health is the nearer question than talent. Treat this as a watch, not a hold-forever — confirm the dip is real before adding more exposure.
Dynasty notes from our blog that mention Tank Dell.
Half-PPR points
114.5
PPG
8.2
Positional finish
WR53
Key stats
2024: 8.2 PPG actual vs 9.5 expected from usage (14 REG weeks, half-PPR) — underperformed by 14%.
| Season | Finish | Half-PPR FP | PPG | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Rush yd | Rush TD | Pass yd | Pass TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | WR53 | 114.5 | 8.2 | 51 | 667 | 3 | 43 | — | — | — |
| 2023 | WR38 | 141.5 | 14.2 | 47 | 709 | 7 | 51 | — | — | — |
Career arc
Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.
| Week | Half-PPR FP | Opp | Script | Rec | Rush | Pass |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 W16 | 18.8 | KC | 56 plays · 70% pass | 98 / 1 TD · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W15 | 5.1 | MIA | 46 plays · 57% pass | 26 · 2 rec | 15 | 0 |
| 2024 W13 | 2.8 | JAX | 59 plays · 58% pass | 23 · 1 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W12 | 8.7 | TEN | 50 plays · 66% pass | 72 · 3 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W11 | 7.8 | DAL | 59 plays · 58% pass | 54 · 4 rec | 4 | 0 |
| 2024 W10 | 5.8 | DET | 61 plays · 54% pass | 39 · 5 rec | -6 | 0 |
| 2024 W9 | 15.6 | NYJ | 67 plays · 46% pass | 126 · 6 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W8 | 11.5 | IND | 66 plays · 56% pass | 35 / 1 TD · 4 rec | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W7 | 0.0 | GB | 54 plays · 39% pass | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 W6 | 15.2 | NE | 60 plays · 53% pass | 57 / 1 TD · 7 rec | 0 | 0 |
Weekly Half-PPR
Hover a week for the gap.
Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.
Those opponents
Pass yards they allowed per game in 2024, vs league. Plus is easier.
Snap share
2024 offense · 68.9% mean
target share
Hover a week for the share.
Pass-play participation
80.7%
2024· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.
Advanced (2024)
Durability
R3 (69 overall) WR · that slot hit at 18.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=64; contributor 34.4%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.
2024 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample
68th of 97
55th of 97
85th of 97
47th of 97
Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.