T.J. Hockenson headshot

TE · MIN · #87

T.J. Hockenson

Height
HT 6'5"
Weight
WT 248 lbs
Birth date
Jul 3, 1997 (age 29.2)
College
Iowa

2024 stopped at 10 games; staying on the field is the swing factor.

Traded from DET to MIN (Nov 1, 2022).

Dynasty Value Score (DVS)

3,513

Range 3,2313,791

Based on 2025 production and our 2026 projection

Proven TE in his prime — production and runway both hold.

DVS is our model view, scored on Engine-default half-PPR — not a guaranteed price in your league. Bye weeks and schedule strength are left out on purpose.

2026 Engine Projections

134.0 pts

7.9 PPG · 15.5 games

73.6 rec · 734.2 rec yds · 4.1 rec TD

Player quality

Why this DVS moved off a raw projection.

  • Durability ×0.98

    One recent short season (games missed). Production already saw the missed games — this is forward risk only.

  • Process ×0.99

    Process residual (not a second production percentile).

  • Org environment ×0.99

    Team pass/rush volume vs league — scheme residual, not a second projection.

Quick answer

Buy low

Hockenson caught 51 passes for 438 yards in 2025, finishing TE26. Path runs TE4 → TE34 → TE26 — a bounce-back, not a blank slate. Only 10 games in 2024 — availability is the headline. That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery.

NextDyne coverage

Dynasty notes from our blog that mention T.J. Hockenson.

2025 fantasy highlights

Half-PPR points

87.3

PPG

5.8

Positional finish

TE26

Key stats

  • Rec: 51 (TE17)
  • Rec yds: 438 (TE26)
  • Rec TD: 3 (TE25)

2025: 5.8 PPG actual vs 5.7 expected from usage (15 REG weeks, half-PPR) — outperformed by 2%.

Career (Half-PPR)

SeasonFinishHalf-PPR FPPPGRecRec ydRec TDRush ydRush TDPass ydPass TD
2025TE2687.35.8514383
2024TE3466.06.641455
2023TE4171.511.4959605
2022TE2172.410.1869146
2021TE16114.89.6615834
2020TE5141.88.9677236
2019TE3264.75.4323672

Career arc

0501001502002019: 64.7 Half-PPR6520192020: 141.8 Half-PPR14220202021: 114.8 Half-PPR11520212022: 172.4 Half-PPR17220222023: 171.5 Half-PPR17220232024: 66.0 Half-PPR6620242025: 87.3 Half-PPR8720252026 projection: 134.0 Half-PPR1342026*

Dashed bar is the 2026 Engine projection, not a completed season.

Recent games (2025)

WeekHalf-PPR FPOppScriptRecRushPass
2025 W160.7NYG54 plays · 43% pass2 · 1 rec00
2025 W158.6DAL52 plays · 46% pass66 · 4 rec00
2025 W148.2WAS57 plays · 40% pass12 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W138.9SEA46 plays · 65% pass59 · 6 rec00
2025 W123.9GB39 plays · 49% pass19 · 4 rec00
2025 W115.4CHI54 plays · 59% pass39 · 3 rec00
2025 W101.8BAL60 plays · 70% pass8 · 2 rec00
2025 W98.1DET54 plays · 46% pass11 / 1 TD · 2 rec00
2025 W83.6LAC42 plays · 74% pass26 · 2 rec00
2025 W77.3PHI65 plays · 65% pass43 · 6 rec00

Weekly Half-PPR

ActualExpected
510152078910111213141516Week

Hover a week for the gap.

Dashed line is expected Half-PPR from usage.

Those opponents

Pass yards they allowed per game in 2025, vs league. Plus is easier.

  • NYG
    +2% · 230 pass yards
  • DAL
    +18% · 266 pass yards
  • WAS
    +14% · 257 pass yards
  • SEA
    -5% · 213 pass yards
  • GB
    -8% · 207 pass yards
  • CHI
    +6% · 239 pass yards
  • BAL
    +15% · 259 pass yards
  • DET
    +5% · 237 pass yards
  • LAC
    -13% · 195 pass yards
  • PHI
    -9% · 205 pass yards

Usage and availability

Snap share

2025 offense · 77.9% mean

255075100W1W18

target share

25507510078910111213141516Week

Hover a week for the share.

Pass-play participation

86.2%

2025· share of the team’s dropback plays this player was on the field for. Presence, not a charted route rate.

Advanced (2025)

Broken tackles
2
Avg depth of target
5.2
Drop %
4.5%

Durability

  • 2023
    15 G
  • 2024
    10 G · 1 Out
  • 2025
    15 G · 2 Out
  • 15.5 projected games — injury history is priced as risk, not a short 2026 slate.

R1 (8 overall) TE · that slot hit at 81.8% in 2010–2023 classes (n=11; contributor 100.0%). Window is the first three NFL seasons.

Next Gen Stats

2025 season · Next Gen Stats · ranks among NGS sample

Separation
3.75yd

7th of 35

Cushion
6.20yd

4th of 35

YAC above expected
-0.15yd

27th of 35

Air yards share
8.3%

26th of 35

Historical comps

Similar age, draft capital, and role — context for outcome bands, not a second DVS.

FAQ

What is T.J. Hockenson's dynasty value on NextDyne?
Hockenson scores 3,513 out of 10,000. The score blends 2025 production with our 2026 projection. Superflex and TE Premium shift the rankings; the trade calculator shows how.
What is T.J. Hockenson's 2026 Engine Projection?
We project 7.9 half-PPR points per game for 2026. That rate feeds Value Score — multiply by games and your league’s scoring if you want a season total.
How are season fantasy points calculated on this page?
Season totals and the recent game log use Half-PPR so every public profile matches our Engine board. Your league’s scoring shows up inside the app.
Should I trade for T.J. Hockenson in dynasty right now?
That's a buy-low window if the price still reflects the rough year, not the recovery. Run the actual numbers on the dynasty trade calculator before you commit — stance is a starting point, not a price.